Chepstow Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Chepstow's September 2023 crime rate (5.6 per 1,000) places the area 30% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, reflecting a consistently lower crime profile compared to national trends. The breakdown of crimes reveals a distinct pattern: violence and sexual offences (26 cases, 38.8% of total) remain the most prevalent category, significantly outpacing the UK average for this type by 20%. This is consistent with Chepstow's character as a historic town with a compact urban core, where interpersonal conflicts may arise in concentrated residential and commercial zones. Anti-social behaviour (19 cases, 28.4%) follows as the second most common category, though it is 19% above the UK average—a figure that may be influenced by the town's proximity to educational institutions and the seasonal influx of students. Public order offences (10 cases) also exceed the UK average by 29%, suggesting challenges in managing disorder during transition periods such as the start of the academic term. These patterns contrast with categories like shoplifting and vehicle crime, both of which fell well below national averages (46% and 58% lower respectively), likely due to Chepstow's smaller retail footprint and limited parking infrastructure. The seasonal context of September—marking the return to school and university—adds nuance to these figures, as the area's crime dynamics shift from summer tourism to local community activity. This data underscores Chepstow's unique position within Monmouthshire, where its built-up area's density and historical character contribute to a crime profile that diverges from both larger cities and rural regions.

September saw a 57.1% drop in shoplifting incidents, falling from 7 to 3, likely reflecting reduced foot traffic as university term began and tourist numbers waned. Vehicle crime also declined by 50%, with reported cases dropping from 4 to 2, possibly linked to fewer summer vehicles remaining in the area. Conversely, anti-social behaviour increased by 5.6%, rising from 18 to 19 incidents—a small but notable shift that may correlate with the return of students and the start of the academic term. Violence and sexual offences remained the most common category, contributing 38.8% of all crimes, a figure 20% below the UK average. Meanwhile, public order offences (10 cases) were 29% above the national average, highlighting a local challenge in managing incidents during transition periods. These shifts illustrate how seasonal and demographic factors can influence crime patterns in a compact urban environment.

Chepstow's crime rate in September 2023 (5.6 per 1,000) marked a 29.5% decrease from the previous month's rate of 7.9 per 1,000. This decline aligns with seasonal patterns as the area transitions from summer to autumn, with fewer tourists and reduced nightlife activity. Locally, the average resident faced a 1-in-179 chance of experiencing a reported crime during the month, a figure that contextualises risk within the built-up area's population of 11,961. Daily crime statistics show 2 incidents occurred on average each day in September, a rate that remains consistently lower than the UK average when scaled to Chepstow's demographic profile. The population-scaled perspective reveals that Chepstow's crime profile is shaped by its compact urban character, where community policing and limited commercial zones may contribute to lower rates compared to larger cities. These figures suggest that local factors—such as the town's historic retail core and proximity to natural landscapes—play a role in maintaining crime levels below national benchmarks.