Chepstow Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Chepstow's November 2024 crime rate of 8.7 per 1,000 residents places it 14.5% above the UK average of 7.6. This rate reflects a combination of seasonal and local factors, with the area's built-up character and proximity to rural landscapes shaping crime patterns. Violence and sexual offences dominate the crime profile, accounting for 35.6% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (18.3%) and shoplifting (12.5%). These figures align with November's seasonal context: darker evenings, the approach of Bonfire Night, and Black Friday shopping activity likely contribute to heightened tensions and opportunistic crime. The prominence of violent offences may partly explain the 20% gap between Chepstow's rate for this category and the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. Similarly, anti-social behaviour's 44% surplus over the national average could reflect the area's compact, mixed-use urban layout, where social interactions are frequent but sometimes strained. Meanwhile, shoplifting's 59% excess above the UK rate may be tied to the high street's retail presence, which sees increased foot traffic during holiday periods. The data also shows a stark contrast in property crime trends: while burglary rises sharply, vehicle crime and public order offences fall below UK averages. This divergence suggests that Chepstow's crime picture is shaped by both its urban core and surrounding rural areas, with different dynamics influencing different offence types.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift in November 2024 was the 150% surge in burglary, jumping from 2 to 5 incidents. This leap, coupled with an 116.7% rise in shoplifting (6 to 13 cases) and an 111.1% increase in anti-social behaviour (9 to 19 reports), highlights a sharp uptick in property-related and public disorder offences. Burglary's dramatic rise may be linked to seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night, which often sees increased home security vulnerabilities as residents leave properties unattended. Shoplifting's steep increase aligns with Black Friday's retail activity, with 13 incidents representing a 59% excess over the UK average of 0.7 per 1,000. Conversely, public order offences dropped by 55.6% (from 9 to 4), potentially due to reduced street activity as the month progressed. The data also reveals stark regional disparities: while violence and sexual offences are 20% above the UK average, criminal damage and arson are 30% below, reflecting Chepstow's lower industrial activity compared to other areas. For residents, the 150% spike in burglary may be particularly concerning, with 5 incidents occurring in a month where the average daily crime count was 3. This suggests a need for heightened vigilance around home security during the holiday season.

Chepstow's crime rate in November 2024 rose by 31.7% compared to the previous month's rate of 6.6 per 1,000 residents, marking a significant upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 3 crimes per day over the 30-day period, with one reported crime occurring for roughly every 115 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate is higher than the average for many similarly sized communities, though it remains within the broader UK context. The population of 11,961 means that each resident faces a 0.87% chance of being directly affected by crime in November, a figure that is 14.5% above the national average. While the increase in violent crime and anti-social behaviour is evident, the drop in vehicle crime and public order offences suggests that some areas of the built-up area may have seen improvements in community policing or environmental crime prevention efforts. The contrast between rising burglary rates and falling vehicle crime highlights the uneven nature of Chepstow's crime profile, with different parts of the area experiencing divergent trends. For local residents, the 31.7% month-on-month increase underscores the need for continued monitoring of crime patterns, particularly as seasonal factors like Bonfire Night and the end-of-year holidays approach.