Chepstow Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Chepstow's crime profile in January 2025 revealed a marked imbalance between property and violent crimes, with the latter dominating at 32 incidents (41% of the total). This contrasted with the previous month's more even distribution, suggesting a seasonal shift influenced by the post-holiday period. The overall crime rate of 6.5 per 1,000 residents placed the area 8.5% below the UK average, a position reinforced by lower rates in anti-social behaviour and vehicle crime. However, the violence and sexual offences category stood out, exceeding the UK average by 8% and contributing significantly to the overall rate. This spike in violent crime, despite the generally low overall rate, may reflect local factors such as the town's mix of residential and commercial areas, which can create micro-environments conducive to interpersonal conflict. The seasonal context of January—shorter days and reduced retail activity—likely played a role in shaping these patterns. The data also highlighted a surprising dip in shoplifting, which fell to six incidents from 18 in December, a change consistent with the holiday season's end and lower foot traffic in retail zones. These dynamics underscore the complexity of crime trends in small urban areas, where local geography and seasonal rhythms interact in unpredictable ways.

January 2025 saw a 150% increase in burglary, from two to five incidents, a stark shift from the previous month. This rise contrasts with a 66.7% drop in shoplifting, which fell from 18 to six cases, possibly reflecting post-holiday retail patterns. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 41% of all crimes, marking an 8% increase above the UK average for this category. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour fell by 37.5%, from 16 to 10 incidents, a decline that may be linked to shorter daylight hours reducing public spaces for such activity. The property-to-violent crime balance tilted sharply toward violence, with 32 violent crimes compared to 26 property crimes—a reversal from earlier months. This shift could indicate seasonal factors or changes in local dynamics.

Chepstow's crime rate in January 2025 fell to 6.5 per 1,000 residents, a 6.1% decline from the previous month's 6.9 per 1,000. This reduction aligns with the post-holiday period, when reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours may limit opportunities for certain crimes. Daily crime statistics show an average of three incidents reported each day, a figure that reflects the area's relatively low overall rate compared to the UK average. Over the course of January, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 153 residents, illustrating the monthly exposure to crime in the built-up area. This figure contextualises the rate within the local population, offering a tangible sense of the likelihood of encountering crime. While the decrease is notable, the distribution of crime types—particularly the rise in burglary and the fall in shoplifting—suggests shifting patterns that may require further local observation.