Chepstow Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

July 2025 saw Chepstow's crime rate remain precisely at 8.6 per 1,000 residents, mirroring the UK average. This equilibrium masks significant variations in specific crime types, with public order offences emerging as the most surprising anomaly. The town's 14 reported incidents in this category — a 75% increase from June — suggest a dramatic shift in criminal activity patterns during the summer tourism peak. This surge aligns with the seasonal context: July is typically a month of festivals, open-air events, and heightened visitor numbers, creating conditions ripe for public order disturbances. Meanwhile, shoplifting remained a persistent issue, with 17 incidents recorded — 115% above the UK average — likely driven by the town's retail corridors and the influx of tourists. Anti-social behaviour, at 16 incidents, accounted for 15.5% of total crimes, a figure 16% below the national average, possibly reflecting the effectiveness of local policing strategies in managing disruptive conduct. The balance between violent and property crimes also shifted, with violence and sexual offences (36 incidents) slightly outpacing property crimes (32 incidents), though both categories remained within the UK's broader trends. The month's data underscores Chepstow's unique position as a small built-up area within Monmouthshire, where seasonal rhythms and local geography shape crime patterns distinct from larger urban centres.

The most striking shift in July 2025 was the 75% increase in public order offences, rising from 8 to 14 incidents — a jump that outpaced all other categories. This surge, coupled with a 75% rise in other thefts (from 4 to 7), suggests a seasonal realignment in criminal focus, possibly linked to the area's summer festivals and increased foot traffic. Meanwhile, criminal damage and arson plummeted by 81.8%, from 11 to 2 incidents, indicating a possible reduction in vandalism during the month. Shoplifting, at 17 incidents (1.4 per 1,000), remained 115% above the UK average, a persistent challenge for local retailers. Vehicle crime, however, fell by 60% (from 5 to 2), potentially due to reduced car usage during the summer months or improved security measures. These fluctuations underscore the combination of tourism, seasonality, and local enforcement strategies.

Chepstow's crime rate in July 2025 dropped by 8.0% compared to the previous month's 9.4 per 1,000 residents, reflecting a localised shift in criminal activity. With 103 crimes reported over 31 days, the area experienced an average of three crimes per day — a figure that, while consistent with historical patterns, highlights the concentrated nature of incidents during summer. The monthly exposure statistic reveals that one reported crime occurred for roughly every 116 residents, a rate that aligns with the area's population density and seasonal dynamics. The reduction in criminal damage and arson (down 81.8%) contrasts with the sharp rise in public order offences, suggesting a reallocation of resources or attention during the peak tourist season. While the overall rate matches the UK average, the distribution of specific crime types reveals local anomalies, such as shoplifting rates 115% above the national average, which may be linked to the town's retail presence and summer foot traffic.