Monmouthshire Crime Rate May 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Monmouthshire’s crime rate in May 2023 stood at 5.9 per 1,000 residents, placing it 26.2% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000. This performance, while commendable, was shaped by a mix of crime types that reflect the area’s unique characteristics. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 38.5% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (20.7%) and public order offences (14.7%). These figures suggest a community grappling with interpersonal tensions and disorder, though the overall rate remains significantly lower than the national benchmark. The seasonal context of May—marked by bank holidays, longer evenings, and increased outdoor socialising—may have contributed to the prominence of public order crimes, which were 36% above the UK average. This divergence from the national trend hints at localized factors, such as the influence of local events or community dynamics, that could shape crime patterns in ways distinct from broader UK trends. Meanwhile, property crimes remained consistently low, with vehicle crime 78% below the UK average and burglary 68% below. These figures align with the area’s likely rural or semi-rural nature, where fewer commercial hubs and lower population density may naturally curb opportunities for such offences. The relatively low levels of theft from the person (0.0 per 1,000) and bicycle theft (0.0 per 1,000) further reinforce the idea of a community where property crime is not a major concern. However, the sharp increase in robbery and burglary cases highlights the need for vigilance in addressing emerging risks, particularly as seasonal factors continue to influence activity patterns.

May 2023 saw a 300% increase in robbery cases, rising from 1 to 4, and a 225% surge in burglary, moving from 4 to 13 incidents. These sharp increases contrast with a 66.7% drop in theft from the person, which fell from 3 to 1. The crime mix also shifted significantly, with public order offences (83 cases) exceeding the UK average by 36%, a stark deviation from the national trend. Meanwhile, property crimes remained low, with vehicle crime 78% below the UK average and burglary 68% below. This divergence in crime patterns suggests localized factors may be influencing certain categories, such as the rise in public order offences, which could be linked to the longer evenings and increased socialising typical of May in Monmouthshire.

Monmouthshire's crime rate in May 2023 rose 14.5% compared to April, reaching 5.9 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, reflects a shift in crime patterns that may align with seasonal factors such as extended evenings and increased outdoor activity. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 18 reported crimes, translating to one incident for roughly every 168 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure figure underscores the relatively low frequency of crime in the region compared to national averages, despite the upward trend. When viewed through the lens of population size, the 94,930 residents of Monmouthshire collectively face a crime rate that is 26.2% below the UK average, highlighting the area’s comparative safety. However, the 14.5% month-on-month rise suggests a need for continued monitoring of emerging trends, particularly in categories like public order and burglary, which saw significant shifts.