Monmouthshire Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Monmouthshire’s November 2023 crime rate of 5.6 per 1,000 residents marked a significant decline from the UK average of 7.5, a 25.3% reduction. This overall rate, which is the lowest recorded for the area in recent months, reflects a combination of seasonal and geographic factors. The most common crimes were violence and sexual offences, accounting for 40.6% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (16.3%) and public order offences (11.2%). These figures align with Monmouthshire’s character as a predominantly rural district with a mix of small towns and open countryside, where violent crime and anti-social behaviour are more likely to occur in populated centres. The seasonal context of November—marked by the end of the busy shopping season and the onset of darker evenings—may have contributed to the observed trends. For instance, the sharp drop in criminal damage and arson (down 48.4% from the previous month) could be attributed to reduced outdoor activity during colder weather, while the relatively high rate of public order offences may reflect increased foot traffic in local retail areas during Black Friday. However, the absence of a significant rise in property crimes, such as burglary or vehicle crime, which were both below UK averages, suggests that the area’s lower population density and community-focused policing strategies may be effective in deterring such offences. The overall downward trend in crime, combined with the area’s consistently lower-than-average rates for most categories, underscores the need for continued investment in preventative measures and community engagement to sustain these improvements.

November 2023 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, with robbery incidents doubling from one to two cases—a 100% increase—and other crime rising by 50% (12 to 18). These rises, though modest in absolute terms, may reflect heightened activity during Bonfire Night or the Black Friday shopping period. Conversely, criminal damage and arson dropped by 48.4% (62 to 32), possibly linked to seasonal changes in outdoor activity or increased community vigilance. Anti-social behaviour also fell by 21.1% (109 to 86), aligning with a broader trend of reduced public disorder offences during the month. When compared to UK averages, Monmouthshire’s violence and sexual offences rate (2.3 per 1,000) was 11% below the national figure, a contrast to public order offences (0.6 per 1,000), which were 13% above the UK average. This divergence suggests that while violent crime remains a priority for local authorities, public order issues may require tailored strategies to address local-specific challenges.

Monmouthshire's crime rate in November 2023 fell to 5.6 per 1,000 residents, a 14.5% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 6.5. This decline suggests a continued reduction in crime, though seasonal factors such as shorter daylight hours and the end of Black Friday shopping may have played a role. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately 18 crimes per day in November, a figure that, while consistent with historical trends, remains lower than the UK average. When scaled to the population of 94,930, this translates to one reported crime for roughly every 180 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate provides a tangible sense of how crime affects local residents, though this is an aggregate measure and does not reflect individual risk. The population context further highlights that, despite the overall rate being lower than the UK average, local patterns—such as the 13% above UK average for public order offences—indicate areas where community-focused interventions might be particularly relevant.