Monmouthshire Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 94,930 residents, Monmouthshire recorded 508 crimes in September 2023, equating to a crime rate of 5.4 per 1,000 people. This figure is 32.5% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, placing the area among the safer regions in the country. The most prevalent crime category was violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 40.6% of all reported incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (20.3%) and public order offences (14.4%). These patterns align with seasonal rhythms, as September marks the return of students to educational institutions and the transition into cooler evenings. The dominance of violent crime may reflect increased social interactions in public spaces during this period, though the exact causal link remains speculative. Anti-social behaviour, another significant category, is likely tied to the area's mix of rural and urban environments, where community density can influence such incidents. Public order offences, while 29% above the UK average, may be linked to the heightened activity in town centres during the start of the academic term. The overall low crime rate, particularly in property-related offences, suggests that Monmouthshire's geographical and demographic characteristics—including lower population density and a more cohesive community structure—may contribute to its relative safety compared to larger urban centres.

September 2023 saw a 12.6% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from 183 to 206 cases. This jump, though significant, still places the rate 20% below the UK average of 2.7 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 5.8%, with 73 incidents reported, though this remains 18% below the UK norm. Conversely, burglary plummeted by 68.4%, with cases falling from 19 to 6, a stark contrast to the national average of 0.3 per 1,000. Bicycle theft also dropped sharply, declining by 66.7% as only 2 incidents were recorded compared to 6 in August. This decline may reflect seasonal factors, such as reduced cycling activity as nights draw in. Possession of weapons increased by 50%, with 3 cases reported, though this remains 100% below the UK average. These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of crime patterns in Monmouthshire, where some categories rise while others fall dramatically.

Monmouthshire's crime rate in September 2023 fell to 5.4 per 1,000 residents, a 3.6% decrease from the previous month's 5.6. This decline aligns with a broader trend observed in the area over recent months. On a daily basis, 17 crimes were reported in September, translating to roughly one crime for every 187 residents over the course of the month. When scaled to the population of 94,930, this rate underscores the relatively low frequency of crime compared to the UK average. The population-scaled perspective reveals that each resident faces a significantly lower risk of experiencing crime than the national average. While the overall rate has dipped, the distribution of crime types shows notable shifts, with some categories rising while others fall sharply. This contrast between overall trends and individual crime type movements highlights the complexity of local crime patterns, even within a relatively stable overall rate.