Monmouthshire Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Monmouthshire's overall crime rate for November 2024 stood at 6.6 per 1,000 residents, placing it 13.2% below the UK average of 7.6. This figure reflects a mixed picture of crime types, with violence and sexual offences dominating at 31.8% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (18.9%) and criminal damage and arson (9.7%). The area's crime profile is shaped by its rural-urban mix, with higher concentrations of violent crime likely linked to local social dynamics and lower property crime rates consistent with the sparse population density typical of many Welsh valleys. Seasonal factors in November—such as the transition to darker evenings, Bonfire Night, and the start of Black Friday shopping—may partly explain fluctuations in crime patterns. For instance, the drop in violence and sexual offences compared to the previous month (from 231 to 200) could reflect reduced outdoor activity during colder weather, while spikes in anti-social behaviour and criminal damage might align with seasonal gatherings. The relatively low vehicle crime rate (0.2 per 1,000) is consistent with Monmouthshire's limited urban sprawl and fewer car-centric environments. However, the sharp increase in 'other theft' cases (up 77.4% month-on-month) deserves closer attention, as this category often includes unclassified incidents that may signal emerging trends or underreported issues. Overall, the area's crime profile remains safer than the UK average, though localised spikes in certain categories suggest the need for targeted community engagement during peak seasonal periods.

November 2024 saw significant shifts in Monmouthshire's crime profile, with some categories rising sharply while others declined. Other theft cases surged by 77.4% (31 to 55), marking one of the largest increases of the month. This jump, though unclassified in detail, may reflect increased retail activity around Black Friday or unreported incidents in residential areas. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 47.5% (from 40 to 21), likely due to reduced motor vehicle movement during colder weather and shorter daylight hours. The most notable category-specific comparison to the UK average is violence and sexual offences, which stood at 2.1 per 1,000—19% below the national rate of 2.6. This gap is particularly striking given the category's dominance in local crime statistics. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour (1.3 per 1,000) exceeded the UK average (1.1 per 1,000) by 17%, a trend that may be tied to increased community gatherings during November events. Residents might find the 3.3% month-on-month rise in overall crime rate (from 6.4 to 6.6 per 1,000) noteworthy, though this remains well below the UK average. The decrease in robbery cases (from 3 to 2, -33.3%) and the continued low rate of burglary (0.3 per 1,000) suggest that targeted policing efforts or seasonal factors may be contributing to sustained safety in certain areas.

Monmouthshire's crime rate in November 2024 (6.6 per 1,000) marked a 3.3% increase from the previous month's rate of 6.4, reflecting a slight upward trend despite remaining well below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly 21 crimes per day over the month—a figure that, while modest, highlights the ongoing presence of crime in local communities. When scaled to the population, this equates to one reported crime occurring for every 151 residents over the course of November, a monthly aggregate that provides context for residents assessing their personal risk. This rate is significantly lower than the UK average monthly exposure, which is not provided in the dataset but can be inferred to be higher given Monmouthshire's overall 13.2% deficit to the national rate. The population context is particularly relevant for understanding the impact of crime: with 94,930 residents, the 630 total crimes reported represent a relatively low proportion of the population, suggesting that most residents are not directly affected by crime on a regular basis. However, the 3.3% increase from October to November, coupled with specific spikes in categories like 'other theft,' indicates that local conditions—such as seasonal events or changes in community activity—may be influencing crime trends in ways that require further analysis.