Undy and Magor Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

November 2023 marked a significant shift in crime patterns for Undy and Magor, a built-up area within Monmouthshire, with the overall crime rate standing at 4.3 per 1,000 residents—42.7% below the UK average of 7.5 per 1,000. This figure reflects a relatively low-risk environment compared to national trends, though seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping likely contributed to fluctuations in specific categories. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent crime type, accounting for 42.3% of all incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour (15.4%) and public order offences (11.5%). The area’s crime profile appears shaped by its rural-urban mix, with limited commercial density reducing opportunities for theft from the person or vehicle crime, yet local retail activity during peak shopping periods driving shoplifting. The UK average for violence and sexual offences (2.6 per 1,000) is 31% higher than Undy and Magor’s rate, suggesting a lower incidence of violent crime in this area. However, the seasonal context of November—characterised by shorter daylight hours and the timing of major sales events—may have influenced both the types and frequencies of reported crimes, though the overall trend remains one of relative safety compared to national benchmarks.

The most dramatic month-on-month shift occurred in shoplifting, which doubled from zero to two incidents—a 100% increase—likely linked to Black Friday shopping activity. Similarly, vehicle crime saw a 100% rise, though this remains low at two incidents. These spikes contrast with a 60% decline in other theft, which fell from five to two cases, possibly reflecting seasonal changes in retail activity or improved security measures. Violence and sexual offences, while the most common category, remain 31% below the UK average, consistent with the area’s lower population density and limited nightlife. Anti-social behaviour also dropped by 20%.4% of all crimes, highlighting ongoing challenges in community management. The data also reveals that Undy and Magor’s rate for criminal damage and arson is 66% below the UK average, suggesting a lower incidence of property-related offences compared to the national trend, potentially due to the area’s smaller scale and community-oriented policing.

November’s crime rate of 4.3 per 1,000 represents a 10.5% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 4.8, indicating a slight downward trend. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 234 residents, a figure that, while low, underscores the need for continued vigilance in community safety. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day, a manageable frequency that contrasts with the UK’s higher national average. This monthly exposure figure, when contextualised within the area’s population of 6,071, suggests that residents face a relatively low risk of encountering crime compared to larger urban centres. The decline in overall crime, coupled with the sharp rise in shoplifting, points to a combination of seasonal events and local conditions. While the area’s small size and lower population density may naturally reduce the likelihood of certain crimes, targeted interventions during peak shopping periods could further mitigate risks without compromising the community’s already strong safety record.