Undy and Magor Crime Rate August 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Undy and Magor, a built-up area within Monmouthshire, recorded a crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000 residents in August 2024, significantly below the UK average of 8.2 per 1,000. This 23.2% deficit reflects a combination of local characteristics and seasonal factors. The area's crime profile is dominated by violence and sexual offences (34.2% of total incidents), followed by anti-social behaviour (18.4%) and other theft (15.8%). These figures contrast with the UK averages for violence (2.7 per 1,000) and anti-social behaviour (1.4 per 1,000), where Undy and Magor's rates are 22% and 17% lower, respectively. The seasonal context of August as a peak holiday month introduces complexities: while tourism may dilute community cohesion and increase transient populations, the data shows no corresponding rise in theft from the person or vehicle crime, which are typically linked to tourist areas. Instead, the increase in anti-social behaviour and criminal damage may reflect the area's small population dynamics, where a few incidents impact statistics. The low rate of burglary (0.3 per 1,000) compared to the UK average (0.3 per 1,000) suggests that local housing patterns—a mix of occupied and seasonal residences—may reduce opportunities for property crime. However, the 75% above UK average for other theft raises questions about unclassified incidents, related to local economic factors or underreported crimes. August's position as a summer month, with longer evenings and increased social activity, may also influence the prevalence of violent crimes.

August 2024 saw a 250% increase in anti-social behaviour, jumping from 2 to 7 incidents. This surge, though unexplained by the data, may reflect heightened community interactions during the summer months. Concurrently, criminal damage and arson doubled, rising from 2 to 4 cases, a trend consistent with increased outdoor activity and potential neglect of empty properties during holidays. Burglary also doubled, with two incidents reported, potentially linked to the seasonal context of empty homes attracting opportunistic offenders. In contrast, other theft decreased by 33.3%, from 9 to 6, a drop that may indicate improved security measures or reduced retail activity. The category of other crime was 87% above the UK average, a stark outlier that warrants closer examination of unclassified incidents. Violence and sexual offences, at 2.1 per 1,000, were 22% below the UK rate, suggesting local factors such as community cohesion or effective policing may contribute to this disparity.

Undy and Magor's crime rate rose by 8.5% in August 2024 compared to July, moving from 5.8 to 6.3 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, aligns with seasonal patterns typical of peak holiday months, when transient populations and altered routines may temporarily elevate local crime dynamics. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day in August, a figure that, while low, reflects the small population of 6,071 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 160 residents, a statistic that contextualises the scale of incidents against the community's size. This monthly exposure rate is lower than the UK average when considered in absolute terms, though the local increase suggests the need for continued monitoring of seasonal fluctuations. The population-scaled perspective highlights that, despite the rise, the area remains significantly safer than the national average, with crime rates 23.2% below the UK benchmark.