Undy and Magor Crime Rate May 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For every 1,000 residents in Undy and Magor, 7.4 crimes were recorded in May 2024 — 11.9% below the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000. This translates to one reported crime for every 135 residents over the course of the month, a figure that contextualises risk in everyday terms. The most prevalent crime type was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 37.8% of all incidents, followed by other theft (20.0%) and criminal damage and arson (13.3%). These patterns align with seasonal trends in May, when longer evenings and increased outdoor socialising may contribute to higher incidents of violence and property crime. The area’s overall crime rate remains significantly lower than the UK average, suggesting a generally safer environment compared to national benchmarks. The breakdown of offences also reveals a marked contrast in specific categories: while violence and sexual offences are slightly below the UK average (2.8 vs 2.8 per 1,000), other theft rates are 159% higher than the national average. This disparity highlights the importance of understanding local crime dynamics rather than relying solely on aggregate statistics. The area’s relatively low density and built-up character may influence crime patterns, with limited public spaces and fewer high-traffic areas reducing opportunities for certain types of offences. However, the sharp increase in vehicle crime and criminal damage compared to UK averages indicates vulnerabilities that warrant closer attention. As May progresses into summer, the combination of increased social activity and warmer weather could further shape crime trends, particularly in areas with higher foot traffic or recreational spaces.

May 2024 saw sharp increases in criminal damage and arson (+200%), vehicle crime (+100%), and burglary (+100%) compared to April. These jumps suggest potential shifts in criminal behaviour during the transition to summer, possibly linked to increased outdoor activity and warmer weather. The rise in vehicle crime, which now stands at 1.0 per 1,000 — 113% above the UK average — may reflect greater vehicle presence in residential areas or increased opportunities for theft during extended evenings. Conversely, public order offences fell by 83.3%, from six to one incident, indicating a possible reduction in alcohol-related disputes or other disturbances typically associated with late-night activity. Shoplifting rates also dropped by 50%, from two to one incident, though this remains 69% below the UK average. The most striking disparity remains in other theft, which at 1.5 per 1,000 is 159% higher than the national average. This could point to localised factors such as specific retail vulnerabilities or patterns in target selection. Residents may want to consider the elevated risk of other theft when securing valuables, particularly in areas with higher foot traffic. Meanwhile, the slight decline in anti-social behaviour (33.3% decrease) and burglary (from zero to two incidents) suggests some positive trends, though the latter’s increase from zero to two is a notable anomaly that may require further investigation.

Undy and Magor’s crime rate of 7.4 per 1,000 in May 2024 represents a 36.2% increase compared to April’s rate of 5.4 per 1,000. This upward trend, while significant, still places the area firmly below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that may appear low to residents but should be contextualised against local population density and community size. When scaled to the area’s population of 6,071, the monthly exposure means that roughly one in every 135 residents encountered a reported crime during the month. This ratio is lower than many urban centres but may not fully capture unreported incidents or variations in police recording practices. The comparison to the UK average highlights both strengths and vulnerabilities: while overall crime remains below national levels, specific categories like other theft and vehicle crime are higher. This contrast could reflect the area’s unique characteristics — such as its relatively low-density built-up nature — which may limit some crime opportunities but create others, particularly in areas with limited surveillance or enforcement presence. Residents should note that the 1-in-135 figure is a monthly aggregate, not a daily risk, and that localised factors such as community cohesion and police visibility likely play a role in shaping these statistics.