Undy and Magor Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile of Undy and Magor in October 2024 reveals a distinct balance between violent and property-related offences, shaped by seasonal rhythms and local dynamics. With 37 total crimes reported, the area recorded a crime rate of 6.1 per 1,000 residents—24.7% below the UK average of 8.1. This mix of crime types provides insight into the area's character, where violence and sexual offences dominate at 46% of all reported incidents. The 2.8 per 1,000 rate for this category, 5% above the UK average, suggests a higher-than-usual concentration of personal crimes, potentially linked to factors such as the approach of Halloween or reduced visibility during darker evenings. Anti-social behaviour, at 18.9% of incidents, remains a significant contributor.2 per 1,000 is 7% below the UK average, indicating a possible effectiveness in local interventions. Other theft, at 10.8% of incidents, shows a 25% increase compared to the UK average, reflecting a pattern of property crimes that may be influenced by the area's demographics or economic conditions. The overall rate, while rising from September, remains well below the UK average, highlighting the area's relative safety despite the seasonal fluctuations. This suggests that local factors—such as community cohesion, policing strategies, or environmental design—may play a role in mitigating crime, even as broader seasonal trends influence activity levels.

Month-on-month analysis reveals sharp shifts in crime types, with burglary, public order offences, and 'other crime' all increasing by 100% compared to September. This contrast with the 33.3% decline in 'other theft' underscores a reallocation of criminal activity toward more immediate or visible incidents. Violence and sexual offences remain the most prominent category at 2.8 per 1,000—5% above the UK average for this type, a figure that may signal heightened local vulnerability or underreporting of other crime types. Public order offences, at 0.3 per 1,000, are 46% below the UK average, suggesting a possible focus on disorder prevention by local authorities. The 100% increase in 'other crime'—a category that includes unclassified incidents—raises questions about whether this reflects improved reporting, changes in categorisation, or a genuine rise in unrecorded incidents. Residents may find the 2.8 per 1,000 rate for violence and sexual offences particularly relevant, as it highlights a specific risk factor distinct from the UK-wide average.

Undy and Magor's crime rate in October 2024 rose to 6.1 per 1,000 residents, a 47.8% increase from September's 4.1 per 1,000. This shift, though significant, still places the area 24.7% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. Locally, this translates to approximately one reported crime per day across the 31-day month, a figure that reflects the pace of incidents without UK-wide context. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 164 residents, a metric that highlights the relatively low exposure compared to larger urban areas. With a population of 6,071, the area's crime pattern suggests a balance between localised factors—such as seasonal activity and community dynamics—and broader regional trends. The daily crime count, while steady, does not account for variations in population density or policing resources, which may influence the observed rate. The 24.7% gap from the UK average indicates that local strategies, such as community engagement or targeted patrols, may contribute to this discrepancy, though further analysis would be needed to confirm this hypothesis.