Undy and Magor Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2025, Undy and Magor recorded a crime rate of 5.6 per 1,000 residents, placing the area 21.1% below the UK average of 7.1. The breakdown of crime types highlights a distinct imbalance between property and violent crime, with property-related incidents accounting for 47% of the total (16 out of 34) compared to 29% for violent crimes (10 out of 34). This divergence may reflect the area’s character as a relatively rural built-up zone, where property crimes—such as burglary and vehicle crime—are more likely to occur in isolated or less densely populated areas. Seasonal factors also appear to influence the data, with January’s post-holiday period and shorter daylight hours likely contributing to lower foot traffic in retail areas, potentially reducing opportunities for theft from the person but increasing the visibility of other crimes. The most common category, violence and sexual offences (29.4% of total crimes), remains 32% below the UK average, a contrast to the sharp overperformance in 'other theft' (145% above UK rates) and 'other crime' (344% above UK rates), which suggests a combination of local conditions. These figures underscore the need for tailored analysis, as the area’s crime profile diverges significantly from national trends, particularly in categories where local factors—such as land use, population density, or seasonal rhythms—may exert a stronger influence.

The balance between property and violent crime in January reveals a 16:10 split, with property crimes forming a larger share of the total. This may partly explain the area’s position relative to the UK average, where violent crime typically constitutes a higher proportion. Among specific categories, 'other crime' surged by 400% month-on-month, rising from one to five incidents—a jump that dwarfs the UK average for this category by 344%. This spike, coupled with a 200% increase in criminal damage and arson, suggests a shift in focus from personal to more varied forms of criminal activity. Conversely, public order offences dropped by two-thirds, and anti-social behaviour fell by half, possibly reflecting seasonal patterns or reduced social interactions during colder weather. The category of 'other theft' remains 145% above the UK average, indicating a persistent local challenge in this area.

The crime rate in Undy and Magor rose by 70.2% compared to the previous month, climbing from 3.3 to 5.6 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though significant, remains 21.1% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day in January, a figure that may reflect local patterns rather than broader trends. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 179 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places the area in contrast to larger urban centres where such figures are typically higher. With a population of 6,071, the local context suggests that crime remains relatively sparse, though the sharp rise in certain categories warrants attention. The population-scaled perspective reinforces that while the rate is lower than national averages, the 70% increase from December signals a shift worth contextualising within the area’s characteristics.