Baglan Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

July 2024 marked a notable shift in Baglan’s crime profile, with anti-social behaviour emerging as the most prevalent category, accounting for 32.9% of all recorded crimes. At 5.8 per 1,000 residents, Baglan’s overall crime rate remains 31% below the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000, underscoring its comparatively lower risk profile. However, the month’s data reveals a striking anomaly: anti-social behaviour surged by 118.2% compared to June, driven potentially by the summer festival season and extended daylight hours that encourage public gatherings. This spike contrasts with consistently low rates of property crime, including burglary (0.2 per 1,000) and vehicle crime (0.2 per 1,000), both of which are 57% and 35% below UK averages respectively. The seasonal context—schools out, tourism peak, and festivals—likely contributed to the rise in anti-social behaviour, as well as the unexpected emergence of shoplifting and robbery. These latter offences, while minor in number, may reflect opportunistic activity during crowded events. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences, though 44% below the UK average, accounted for 27.4% of all crimes, suggesting a balance between property and violent crime that differs from national trends. The data highlights the combination of local geography, seasonal activity, and crime patterns, with Baglan’s built-up character and proximity to Neath Port Talbot’s industrial zones influencing these dynamics.

July 2024 saw a dramatic surge in anti-social behaviour, jumping from 11 incidents in June to 24—an 118.2% increase. This spike, combined with the sudden emergence of shoplifting and robbery (both rising from zero to two incidents), marks a sharp deviation from previous trends. The area’s violent crime rate remained 44% below the UK average, with 20 incidents of violence and sexual offences recorded. Shoplifting and robbery, both previously unreported in the category, now sit at 0.2 per 1,000 residents—a stark contrast to the UK average for shoplifting, which is 0.7 per 1,000. Meanwhile, other theft fell by 50%, from four to two incidents, suggesting a shift in criminal focus. The data also reveals a 21.7% monthly increase in overall crime, raising questions about the interplay between seasonal events and localised crime dynamics.

Baglan's crime rate in July 2024 rose 21.7% compared to June, reflecting a shift in crime patterns. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 171 residents—a figure that contextualises the monthly exposure for local residents. Daily crime activity averaged approximately 2 crimes per day, a figure that aligns with the area's built-up character and seasonal rhythms. While the overall rate remains 31% below the UK average, the month-on-month increase suggests a temporary fluctuation. This rise coincides with the peak of summer, when festivals and outdoor events may increase public interactions and create environments conducive to certain offences. The population context—12,497 residents—highlights that even with a relatively low crime rate, individual experiences can vary depending on localised factors such as event density or community engagement.