Baglan Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

In January 2025, Baglan’s overall crime rate stood at 5.4 per 1,000 residents, placing it 23.9% below the UK average of 7.1 per 1,000. This figure, while modest, reflects a combination of local factors and seasonal trends. Violent crimes (32) dominated the monthly breakdown, accounting for 47.1% of all incidents, while property crimes (9) represented just 13.2%. This stark imbalance between violent and property crime may indicate a shift in community dynamics, potentially influenced by the post-holiday period and reduced retail activity typical of January. The most prevalent category, violence and sexual offences, occurred at a rate of 2.6 per 1,000, 4% above the UK average—a figure that, while not extreme, suggests localized tensions. Public order offences also stood out, with 15 incidents reported (1.2 per 1,000), 161% above the UK average. This anomaly may be linked to Baglan’s built-up character within a coastal town, where social interactions in public spaces could amplify such incidents. Anti-social behaviour, by contrast, was 39% below the UK average, reflecting effective community interventions or lower population density in certain areas. Seasonal context further shapes these trends: shorter days and post-holiday lulls may reduce outdoor crimes but increase indoor conflicts or public order disruptions. The data also highlights the importance of contextualizing crime rates within the area’s specific demographics, as Baglan’s profile diverges from both national averages and its own historical patterns.

January 2025 marked a significant shift in Baglan’s crime mix, with violent crimes (32) far outnumbering property crimes (9), a ratio of 3.6:1. This dominance of violent crime may reflect seasonal factors, such as post-holiday social dynamics or reduced outdoor activity. Public order offences surged by 150% from December, reaching 15 incidents—a figure 161% above the UK average. This spike, while not uncommon for January, warrants attention given its sharp contrast to other categories. Meanwhile, vehicle crime fell by 50%, aligning with the seasonal context of shorter days and lower retail footfall. Other crime also rose sharply, increasing by 300% from a single incident to four, a category that is 67% above the UK average. These fluctuations highlight the unpredictable nature of local crime patterns, with public order and other crimes acting as key indicators of community tensions or unmet needs during the post-holiday period.

Baglan’s crime rate for January 2025 rose to 5.4 per 1,000 residents, a 15.3% increase from the previous month’s rate of 4.7 per 1,000. This upward trend suggests a shift in local crime dynamics. below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day in January, a figure that contextualises the frequency of incidents for residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 184 residents, a ratio that highlights the relatively low exposure compared to national benchmarks. This monthly aggregate, while modest, underscores that Baglan’s crime profile is distinct from both the UK average and its own historical patterns. The population-scaled perspective reveals that, despite the 15.3% rise, the area remains statistically safer than the national average, with the majority of crimes concentrated in specific categories such as violence and public order. These statistics, when viewed alongside the area’s built-up character, suggest that localised factors—such as community interactions or seasonal transitions—may play a role in the current trends.