Baglan Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Baglan’s crime profile in January 2026 reveals a striking dominance of violent crime over property-related offences, a trend that may reflect underlying social dynamics or seasonal influences. With 35 violent crimes reported—accounting for 53.9% of the total 65 incidents—this category far outpaces property crimes, which numbered 15. The overall crime rate of 5.2 per 1,000 residents is 23.5% below the UK average, a position that underscores the area’s relatively low level of criminal activity. However, the breakdown shows that certain categories, such as violence and sexual offences, are slightly above national benchmarks, while others, like vehicle crime and shoplifting, remain significantly below. This divergence suggests that Baglan’s crime picture is shaped by a combination of local factors, including its status as a built-up area within Neath Port Talbot, where population density and community structures may influence crime patterns. Seasonal context also plays a role: January’s reduced retail footfall and shorter days may limit opportunities for property crimes, while the post-holiday period could heighten interpersonal tensions, contributing to the rise in violent and public order offences. These patterns align with broader observations that areas with strong community ties and lower population density often see lower overall crime rates, though specific categories may still reflect unique local challenges.

January 2026 saw a stark shift in Baglan’s crime mix, with violent crimes (35 incidents) outpacing property crimes (15 incidents) by a wide margin. This imbalance suggests a focus on interpersonal conflicts or public safety challenges, though seasonal factors such as post-holiday tensions may contribute. Among the most notable changes was a 150% increase in public order offences, rising from four to ten incidents—a category that is 90% above the UK average. This surge, coupled with a 200% rise in vehicle crime, indicates a potential uptick in disturbances or targeted activities in specific areas. Conversely, anti-social behaviour dropped by two-thirds, possibly reflecting community efforts or seasonal lulls. The area’s violent crime rate (2.8 per 1,000) is 12% above the UK average for this category, illustrating a nuanced contrast between Baglan’s specific challenges and broader national trends.

Baglan's crime rate in January 2026 dropped to 5.2 per 1,000 residents, a 15.6% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 6.2 per 1,000. This decline places the area 23.5% below the UK average, highlighting a consistent trend of lower-than-national crime levels. Locally, the monthly tally of 65 crimes translates to roughly two incidents per day, a figure that may appear modest but reflects the area’s relatively small population of 12,497. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 192 residents, a monthly exposure rate that suggests a manageable level of risk compared to larger urban centres. The population context further underscores that Baglan’s crime profile is shaped by its size and local dynamics, with no single factor dominating the statistics. While the drop from December is notable, it aligns with seasonal patterns typical of January, a month often marked by reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours, which may limit opportunities for certain types of crime.