For every 1,000 residents in New Forest, 4.6 crimes were reported in January 2026, placing the area 30.3% below the UK average of 6.6. This per-capita figure translates to a daily risk of roughly one in 38 residents encountering a crime, though the actual probability is lower due to the distribution of crime types. The most common category, violence and sexual offences, accounted for 39.7% of total crimes, with rates 26% below the UK average. Shoplifting and criminal damage followed, each contributing to a crime mix that reflects the area’s rural character and seasonal dynamics. January’s post-holiday period and reduced retail footfall likely influenced the surge in shoplifting, which rose 121% from December. Meanwhile, the drop in burglary by 27.3% aligns with typical seasonal patterns, where shorter daylight hours and lower population density reduce opportunities for property crime. The area’s lower rates of anti-social behaviour (56% below UK average) and drugs-related offences (63% below) further illustrate the impact of geographic and demographic factors on crime profiles. These trends suggest that while New Forest’s overall safety is strong, targeted attention to spikes in specific categories—such as theft from the person—may be necessary to address localized vulnerabilities.