Holbury Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Holbury's crime profile in November 2023 demonstrates a marked improvement compared to the UK average, with an overall crime rate of 5.0 per 1,000 residents—33.3% below the national average of 7.5. This performance, while encouraging, is tempered by a persistent focus on violent crime, which accounted for 19 incidents (48.7% of total) and remains the most common category. The seasonal context of November—marked by Bonfire Night and Black Friday shopping—likely influenced patterns, with darker evenings potentially affecting visibility and foot traffic in the built-up area. Property crimes, though lower than violent incidents, still represent a significant portion of the total, with 15 cases recorded. The breakdown shows that Holbury's violent crime rate (2.4 per 1,000) is 7% below the UK average, while anti-social behaviour (0.3 per 1,000) is 71% below the national rate of 1.1 per 1,000. This contrast suggests that the area's character as a semi-rural built-up district within the New Forest may contribute to lower levels of anti-social behaviour compared to more densely populated urban centres. However, the rise in violence and sexual offences—particularly the 26.7% increase from October—raises questions about local factors, such as the impact of seasonal transitions on community dynamics or the effectiveness of policing strategies during peak holiday periods.

November saw a 26.7% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from 15 to 19 incidents. This rise, though notable, was offset by a 60% drop in anti-social behaviour and an 87.5% decline in public order offences, which fell from 8 to 1. The most dramatic shift was in possession of weapons, which surged by 100% from zero to one reported incident. These changes highlight a combination of seasonal factors and local dynamics. Violent crime remains the dominant category, accounting for 48.7% of all incidents, a figure 7% below the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. Other theft also showed a 33.3% increase, though it remains 19% below the UK average. The sharp reduction in public order offences may reflect the impact of Bonfire Night events, which typically draw police presence and community engagement in the New Forest area.

Holbury's crime rate in November 2023 fell to 5.0 per 1,000 residents, a 23.5% drop from the previous month's 6.5 per 1,000. This decline aligns with broader seasonal trends, where reduced daylight hours and quieter evenings may temper certain types of crime. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 201 residents, a figure that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to the area's population of 7,852. On a daily basis, the area recorded roughly one crime per day, a rate that remains consistent with Holbury's historical patterns. This monthly exposure metric provides a tangible measure for residents, showing that the likelihood of encountering crime is relatively low compared to national averages. The shift from October to November reflects a broader seasonal dip, though the persistence of violent crime as the most frequent category suggests ongoing challenges in specific areas of the built-up district.