Caerleon Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Caerleon during October 2023 reveals a distinct emphasis on violent and disruptive offences, which may reflect local dynamics shaped by its role as a built-up area within Newport. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 43.8% of all crimes reported, significantly outpacing the UK average for this category (2.7 per 1,000). This dominance of violent crime contrasts with the relatively low rates of property-related offences, which make up just 20.3% of the total. The area’s crime rate of 8.0 per 1,000 aligns precisely with the UK average, suggesting no overall deviation from national trends. However, the mix of crimes suggests a community where interpersonal conflicts and public order issues are more pronounced than typical for a UK urban area. The seasonal context of October—marked by darker evenings and the Halloween period—may have contributed to an increase in anti-social behaviour and public order offences, which together constitute 29.7% of the total. While the area’s crime rate is statistically neutral compared to the UK, the concentration of violent crimes raises questions about local factors, such as the presence of high-traffic public spaces or community tensions that could influence such patterns. The low rates of vehicle crime and burglary, both significantly below the UK average, might indicate a lower incidence of opportunistic theft in residential or commercial areas, though this could also be influenced by local policing efforts or environmental design features. The data underscores the importance of addressing violent and disruptive crimes as a priority for maintaining public safety in Caerleon.

October 2023 saw dramatic shifts in specific crime categories, with other theft increasing by 400% (from 1 to 5 cases) and criminal damage and arson rising by 300% (from 1 to 4). These spikes may reflect isolated incidents or emerging patterns linked to seasonal factors, such as increased property maintenance needs or holiday-related activities. Conversely, vehicle crime decreased by 33.3%, potentially influenced by reduced car usage during October or enhanced security measures in parking areas. The category of 'other crime' also fell by 25%, though it remains 186% above the UK average, suggesting persistent challenges in addressing non-specific offences. Violence and sexual offences, which constitute 43.8% of the total, are 30% above the UK average (2.7 per 1,000), highlighting a critical area for targeted interventions. Anti-social behaviour and public order offences also exceed national rates by 25% and 36%, respectively, indicating that community-level disruptions may be more prevalent than in other UK areas. The rate of 'other crime'—a category that includes unclassified or less common offences—surpasses the UK average by nearly 200%, which could signal either underreporting of specific issues or the presence of unique local challenges that require further investigation. Residents may find the 400% surge in other theft particularly concerning, as it represents a significant and sudden increase in a category that typically accounts for a small proportion of overall crime.

The crime rate in Caerleon rose by 10.3% from 7.3 per 1,000 in September to 8.0 per 1,000 in October, reflecting a modest but notable increase over the course of the month. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day, a figure that provides a tangible sense of the frequency of incidents for local residents. Over the course of October, one reported crime occurred for every 125 residents, a monthly exposure rate that places Caerleon in line with broader UK trends but highlights the direct impact of crime on the community. With a population of 7,996, the area’s crime statistics must be contextualised within its size: 8.0 per 1,000 translates to roughly 64 total crimes, which, while statistically neutral compared to the UK average, represents a significant number for such a small population. This scale means that each crime has a more pronounced effect on the community, potentially increasing the perceived risk of victimisation. The comparison to the UK average also underscores that while Caerleon’s overall rate is neutral, its specific crime mix—particularly the overrepresentation of violent and disruptive offences—distinguishes it from the national profile. This suggests that local factors, such as the built-up nature of the area or its integration with Newport’s broader urban fabric, may contribute to the unique balance of crime types observed. The monthly exposure rate, while not exceptionally high, serves as a reminder that even small increases in crime can have meaningful implications for community safety and policing priorities.