Caerleon Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Caerleon’s crime profile in January 2024 reveals a nuanced interplay between property and violent crime, with the latter narrowly dominating at 19 incidents compared to 18 property crimes. This balance may be influenced by the post-holiday period, which typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, potentially curbing outdoor crimes while leaving indoor and interpersonal incidents more prevalent. The area’s overall crime rate of 5.9 per 1,000 residents places it 20.3% below the UK average, a position reinforced by lower rates in burglary (72% below UK average) and shoplifting (82% below UK average). However, the breakdown shows that violent crimes—specifically violence and sexual offences—occurred at 2.4 per 1,000, 8% below the UK average, suggesting a localised resilience in this category despite national trends. Anti-social behaviour, meanwhile, stood at 1.1 per 1,000, 11% above the UK average, a figure that may reflect the area’s social dynamics or unmet community needs. Other theft (0.9 per 1,000) and criminal damage (0.8 per 1,000) also exceeded UK averages, hinting at potential vulnerabilities in specific sectors such as public spaces or unsecured properties. Seasonal context further supports this pattern, with January’s reduced retail activity likely contributing to lower shoplifting rates but exacerbating issues related to social isolation or community tensions. The data underscores the importance of targeted interventions in areas where local rates diverge from national averages, such as addressing anti-social behaviour while maintaining the gains in burglary reduction.

The balance between property and violent crime in January 2024 saw violent crimes (19) narrowly outpacing property crimes (18), a shift that may reflect seasonal factors such as reduced outdoor activity and post-holiday dynamics. Among specific categories, anti-social behaviour surged by 125% (from 4 to 9 incidents) and other theft rose by 100% (from 0 to 7), marking two of the most notable increases. Conversely, public order offences fell by 87.5% (from 8 to 1), and burglary dropped by 66.7% (from 3 to 1), indicating a potential realignment in crime patterns. Violent crimes in Caerleon were 8% below the UK average (2.4 vs 2.6 per 1,000), while anti-social behaviour was 11% above the UK average (1.1 vs 1.0 per 1,000). These disparities highlight the area’s distinct profile compared to national trends, with localised spikes in certain categories warranting closer attention.

Caerleon’s crime rate in January 2024 rose 17.6% from 5.0 to 5.9 per 1,000 residents compared to December 2023, reflecting a slight upward trend. This increase places the area’s monthly exposure at one crime per 170 residents, a figure that contextualises the frequency of incidents within the local population. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of two crimes per day in January, a statistic that aligns with the post-holiday period’s typical patterns of reduced retail activity and shorter daylight hours. While the overall rate remains 20.3% below the UK average, the shift in crime types—particularly the rise in anti-social behaviour and other theft—suggests evolving local dynamics. The population-scaled perspective reveals that, despite the increase, Caerleon’s crime rate remains relatively low compared to national benchmarks, though the month-on-month change underscores the need for continued monitoring of emerging trends.