Caerleon Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The most unexpected development in Caerleon's July 2025 crime statistics was the sharp 52.4% increase in violence and sexual offences, which rose from 21 to 32 incidents. This leap, far exceeding the 18.1% overall rate increase, suggests a significant shift in local dynamics. The area's crime rate of 10.6 per 1,000 residents — 23.3% above the UK average — highlights persistent challenges compared to national benchmarks. Anti-social behaviour (2.6 per 1,000) and criminal damage (2.0 per 1,000) also showed marked increases, with anti-social behaviour 68% above the UK average. These figures align with July's typical seasonal patterns, when summer festivals, school holidays, and increased tourism may heighten public interactions in the built-up area. The dominance of violent crime (37.7% of all incidents) over property crime (24.7%) contrasts with the UK average, where property crime typically accounts for a larger share. This imbalance may reflect the area's unique characteristics as a built-up zone within Newport, where community spaces and commercial hubs create environments conducive to interpersonal conflicts. The 100% spike in weapon possession, though still a single incident, deserves closer attention given the potential risks to public safety. These trends, while concerning, are consistent with the area's historical patterns of seasonal volatility, particularly during peak summer activity periods.

July 2025 saw a dramatic 52.4% increase in violence and sexual offences, jumping from 21 to 32 cases. This marked the largest single-category rise, far outpacing the 18.1% overall rate increase. Anti-social behaviour also rose sharply, though the most striking anomaly was the 100% jump in possession of weapons, with no incidents reported in June. This spike in weapon-related crimes, though still low in absolute terms, raises concerns about local tensions. Meanwhile, vehicle crime and drug-related offences both fell by 50%, suggesting some shifts in criminal activity patterns. The area's violent crime rate of 4.0 per 1,000 — 32% above the UK average — contrasts sharply with the 0.3 per 1,000 burglary rate, which is only 11% above the UK figure. Residents may find the 23.3% overall rate increase particularly noteworthy, as it reflects a divergence from national trends in violent crime.

Caerleon's crime rate in July 2025 rose to 10.6 per 1,000 residents, marking an 18.1% increase from June's 9.0 per 1,000. This places the area 23.3% above the UK average of 8.6 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 3 crimes per day, with one reported crime occurring for roughly every 94 residents over the month. This monthly exposure rate, while higher than the UK average for some categories, reflects a combination of local factors. The population of 7,996 means each resident faces a slightly higher risk of encountering crime compared to the national average. The previous month's rate provides a baseline for understanding this upward trend, which may be influenced by seasonal factors such as increased public activity during summer. Comparing this to the UK context, the sharp rise in anti-social behaviour and violence highlights specific vulnerabilities in Caerleon that diverge from broader national patterns.