Rogerstone Crime Rate July 2025 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile in Rogerstone during July 2025 reveals a distinct balance of offence types, with violent crimes forming the largest share of reported incidents. At 3.1 crimes per 1,000 residents, the area's overall rate is 64% below the UK average of 8.6, highlighting a significant divergence from national trends. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 45.5% of all crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (24.2%) and public order offences (12.1%). This mix suggests a focus on interpersonal conflicts and community-level disruptions rather than property-focused crimes, which constitute only 19% of the total. Seasonal factors likely influence this pattern: with schools out of session and festivals in full swing, the area's social fabric experiences heightened interaction, potentially contributing to the prominence of violent and disorderly incidents. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 3.0 per 1,000, meaning Rogerstone's rate is 54% lower than the national benchmark. This discrepancy may reflect the area's relatively stable community dynamics or effective local policing strategies. Meanwhile, property crimes such as shoplifting and vehicle crime remain well below UK levels, with shoplifting at 69% below the national average. These figures suggest that while violent and anti-social crime dominate, the area's infrastructure and community engagement may mitigate risks to personal property. The absence of significant property crime spikes aligns with the area's built-up nature within Newport, where retail and public spaces are likely monitored more intensively. July's peak summer conditions, including extended daylight and outdoor events, may also play a role in shaping the crime mix, as these factors can influence both perpetrator activity and victim exposure.

July 2025 saw notable shifts in crime patterns, with public order offences doubling to four incidents—a 100% increase from the previous month. This surge, though still below the UK average by 38%, coincides with the area's summer festival season, where crowds and alcohol consumption may amplify disorderly conduct. Vehicle crime also rose sharply, with one incident reported—a 100% increase from zero in June. This could indicate heightened activity in car parks or parking areas during the summer months. Conversely, anti-social behaviour decreased by 33.3%, from 12 to 8 incidents, reflecting improved community engagement or policing efforts during the month. Other crime categories, including burglary and criminal damage, fell by two-thirds, suggesting a seasonal lull in targeted property offences. The dominance of violent crimes—15 incidents, or 45.5% of the total—remains stark, with this category 54% below the UK average. This contrast to national trends may indicate that Rogerstone's built-up environment within Newport, with its mix of residential and commercial spaces, creates conditions where interpersonal conflicts are more likely to escalate than property crimes. The sharp drop in 'other crime' incidents—down 66.7% to one case—could point to a temporary reduction in unclassified or low-level offences, though further analysis would be needed to confirm this. These fluctuations underscore the dynamic nature of local crime patterns and the influence of transient factors such as seasonal events.

Rogerstone's crime rate in July 2025 was 3.1 per 1,000 residents, a 19.5% decrease from the previous month's rate of 3.8. This decline suggests a gradual stabilization in local crime trends, though the rate remains consistently low compared to national benchmarks. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day in July, a figure that, while seemingly low, reflects the small population of 10,825 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 328 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than many comparable urban areas. When viewed through the lens of population size, the 3.1 per 1,000 rate translates to a manageable burden on local policing resources, with the majority of incidents concentrated in violent and anti-social categories. This contrasts sharply with the UK average, where the higher crime rate includes a broader spread of offence types. The comparison also highlights the area's relative safety: for instance, the UK average for anti-social behaviour is 1.6 per 1,000, whereas Rogerstone's rate of 0.7 per 1,000 is 55% lower. These figures suggest that the area's community-focused policing strategies or social cohesion may be playing a role in maintaining lower crime levels. However, the fluctuation in public order offences—up by 100% in July—indicates that specific events or circumstances can temporarily elevate certain crime categories. For residents, this means that while the overall risk remains low, vigilance during large gatherings or festivals may still be warranted.