Bracebridge Heath Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

In October 2023, Bracebridge Heath maintained a crime rate of 5.3 per 1,000 residents, placing it 33.8% below the UK average of 8.0. This lower-than-average rate suggests a relatively safer environment compared to the national picture. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, making up 61.3% of all reported incidents (19 cases), significantly higher than the UK average of 2.7 per 1,000. Anti-social behaviour followed with 19.4% of cases (6 incidents), but this category performed 22% below the UK average. The seasonal context of October—shorter days, darker evenings, and Halloween—may influence patterns of behaviour, particularly in areas where community activity shifts during this time. While property crime remained low (5 incidents, 16.1% of total), the predominance of violent crime raises questions about local factors, such as population density or community engagement, that could contribute to this trend. The relatively low rates of burglary and criminal damage (each 6.5% of total crimes) contrast with the UK average, suggesting a possible combination of effective local policing, community cohesion, or environmental design that deters such offences. However, the high proportion of violent crime underscores the need for targeted interventions in this category, even as overall safety remains comparatively strong.

October 2023 saw significant month-on-month changes in specific crime categories, with anti-social behaviour surging by 200% (from 2 to 6 incidents) and public order offences doubling from 0 to 1. Burglary also increased by 100%, with one reported incident compared to zero in September. These spikes suggest shifting dynamics in community interactions or environmental factors during the month. The crime mix also revealed a stark contrast between local and national averages: while violence and sexual offences were 22% above the UK rate, anti-social behaviour and other theft categories performed below the national benchmark. This imbalance highlights the area’s unique profile, where violent crime remains a concern despite overall lower rates. For residents, the 200% rise in anti-social behaviour—a category often linked to alcohol-related incidents or public disturbances—may be particularly relevant, as it indicates a need for vigilance in public spaces. The absence of property crime increases, coupled with the sharp rise in violent incidents, suggests a potential shift in criminal activity focus, possibly influenced by seasonal factors such as Halloween or changes in local event calendars.

Bracebridge Heath’s crime rate in October 2023 (5.3 per 1,000) marked a 34.6% increase from the previous month’s rate of 4.0, indicating a notable upward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that, while low, reflects the cumulative impact of the month’s incidents. When scaled to the local population of 5,815 residents, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for roughly every 188 residents, a statistic that contextualises the risk in human terms. This monthly aggregate suggests that, while the overall rate remains below the UK average, the increase from September to October warrants attention. The comparison to the UK average is particularly telling: for every 1,000 residents in Bracebridge Heath, 5.3 crimes occurred, compared to 8.0 nationally, highlighting the area’s relative safety. However, the 34.6% monthly rise underscores the importance of monitoring short-term fluctuations, which could be influenced by factors such as weather changes, school holidays, or local events. The daily crime count, though modest, serves as a reminder that even low rates can accumulate over time, requiring ongoing community and policing efforts to maintain this lower-than-average standing.