Witham St Hughs Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Witham St Hughs’ crime profile in July 2023 reveals a striking outlier: violent crimes accounted for 66.7% of all incidents, far exceeding the share of property crimes. At 2.2 per 1,000 residents, the area’s crime rate was 73.5% below the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000, a disparity that suggests structural differences in local security dynamics. The dominance of violent offences—8 incidents in total—contrasts sharply with the UK’s higher proportion of property crimes, raising questions about the area’s social and environmental context. This built-up area within North Kesteven, though small in population (5,473), experienced a crime mix that diverges from national patterns, with no recorded burglaries or vehicle thefts. Seasonal factors likely played a role: July, a peak summer month with schools out and festivals in full swing, may have influenced the prevalence of violent incidents. The low rate of property crimes could reflect a combination of effective community policing, limited retail presence, or a demographic profile less prone to such offences. However, the sudden 100% increase in criminal damage, other theft, and burglary—each rising from zero to one incident—suggests that isolated events or specific vulnerabilities may have emerged. These shifts, though minor in scale, warrant closer attention, particularly as they occurred against a backdrop of overall low crime. The area’s position as a built-up enclave within a rural district may also contribute to its unique profile, where limited anonymity and strong local networks could deter property crimes but not necessarily violent ones. The 73.5% gap between Witham St Hughs and the UK average underscores the need for further analysis into the factors sustaining its low crime rate, even as specific categories show unexpected fluctuations.

July 2023 marked a 100% increase in three specific crime categories: criminal damage and arson, other theft, and burglary. Each of these rose from zero to one incident, reflecting a sudden shift in crime patterns. While violent crimes dominated the monthly total (8 out of 12 incidents), they remained 46% below the UK average of 2.8 per 1,000. This contrast between violent crime prevalence and its relatively low rate compared to national benchmarks highlights a unique dynamic in Witham St Hughs. The absence of property crimes—only 3 incidents recorded—suggests a stark imbalance in crime distribution, with violent offences far outpacing theft or burglary. For residents, the most immediately relevant data is the 0 crimes per day average, which, while statistically sparse, indicates that the area’s security remains exceptionally strong despite the month-on-month rise in specific categories.

July 2023 saw a 33.5% increase in Witham St Hughs’ crime rate compared to the previous month, rising from 1.6 to 2.2 per 1,000 residents. This upward trend, though modest in absolute terms, highlights the area’s sensitivity to seasonal fluctuations. Daily crime context reveals a strikingly low frequency: 12 crimes reported over 31 days equate to roughly 0 crimes per day, a figure that would be unusual even in the most secure urban centres. When scaled to the area’s population of 5,473, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for every 456 residents—a statistic that, while sparse, underscores the rarity of incidents in this built-up area. The population-scaled perspective is particularly informative for residents: the average resident has a 0.2% chance of being directly involved in a crime this month, a figure that falls well below the UK average. This low exposure, combined with the area’s small size, suggests that local factors—such as community cohesion or targeted policing—may play a role in maintaining security despite the month-on-month rise.