Earls Barton Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Earls Barton's crime profile in October 2023 revealed a marked divergence from national trends, with the area's overall crime rate of 4.6 per 1,000 residents—42.5% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000—highlighting its status as a relatively low-crime built-up area. The most significant category by volume was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 41.4% of all reported incidents, though this rate (1.9 per 1,000) remained 30% below the UK average for the same category. Anti-social behaviour followed closely, representing 10.3% of total crimes, with a rate 61% lower than the UK average. In contrast, 'other crime' emerged as a notable outlier, with a rate of 0.5 per 1,000—257% above the UK average of 0.1 per 1,000—suggesting a potential gap in reporting or enforcement practices. Seasonal factors likely influenced these patterns: the rise in shoplifting and public order offences may have been amplified by Halloween activities, while the drop in criminal damage and arson could reflect a decrease in outdoor activities as temperatures fell. The area's compact size and community cohesion, typical of smaller built-up areas, may contribute to its lower crime rate compared to larger urban centres, where anonymity and population density often correlate with higher incident rates. However, the spike in 'other crime' underscores the need for targeted analysis of under-reported categories, as this category's rate far exceeds national norms despite its relatively low absolute numbers. This dynamic illustrates the challenges of interpreting crime statistics in small communities, where even minor shifts can appear significant in comparison to national averages.

October 2023 saw sharp fluctuations in specific crime categories. 'Other crime' surged by 200% compared to September, jumping from one to three incidents—a rise that outpaced all other categories. This increase, though small in absolute terms, exceeded the UK average by 257% (0.5 per 1,000 vs 0.1 per 1,000). Meanwhile, shoplifting and public order offences both doubled from September levels (0 → 1 and 0 → 2 respectively), a shift that may reflect the influence of Halloween activities or seasonal transitions. Conversely, criminal damage and arson dropped by 80% (from five to one incidents), and other theft fell by 60% (from five to two). The breakdown reveals a striking contrast: violent crimes accounted for 41.4% of all incidents, significantly higher than the UK average of 30% for violence and sexual offences. This imbalance suggests local dynamics—such as the area's demographic profile or community interactions—may shape crime patterns differently than national trends. The rise in 'other crime' could indicate unreported or under-enforced activities, though the absence of detailed subcategories leaves room for interpretation. Residents may find the doubling of shoplifting incidents particularly concerning, as it aligns with the timing of Halloween, a period often associated with increased foot traffic in local shops and pubs. The significant reduction in anti-social behaviour (57.1% decrease) may reflect targeted community engagement efforts or seasonal changes in social activity. These shifts highlight the combination of local factors and broader crime trends, offering insights into how specific events and interventions can influence crime statistics in a small built-up area.

Earls Barton's crime rate in October 2023 fell to 4.6 per 1,000 residents, a 19.5% decrease from 5.7 per 1,000 in September. This decline contrasts with the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, highlighting the area's consistently lower crime profile. On a daily basis, 29 crimes reported over 31 days equate to roughly one crime per day, a figure that may feel more tangible for local residents. When scaled to the population of 6,375, this means one reported crime occurred for every 220 residents during the month—a statistic that contextualises the scale of incidents relative to the community size. The drop in overall crime aligns with broader trends observed in similar built-up areas within North Northamptonshire, where seasonal factors and local policing efforts may contribute to sustained reductions. However, the monthly exposure figure underscores that while the area remains safer than the UK average, no community is entirely free from crime. The combination of a smaller population and lower crime rate suggests a unique social fabric, influenced by the area's compact size and community cohesion, which may act as a buffer against more pervasive criminal activity seen in larger urban centres. This contrast with national trends invites further consideration of how local governance and demographic characteristics interact to shape crime dynamics in smaller built-up areas.