Nailsea Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

November 2025 marked a notable month-on-month shift in Nailsea’s crime profile, with criminal damage and arson surging by 350%—the most dramatic change in the area’s monthly crime history. This spike, though extreme, aligns with seasonal factors such as Bonfire Night, which often correlates with increased pyrotechnic-related incidents. Despite this outlier, Nailsea’s overall crime rate of 3.8 per 1,000 residents remained 47.9% below the UK average, underscoring the area’s consistent safety record compared to national trends. The top crime categories included violence and sexual offences (42.4% of total crimes), anti-social behaviour (15.2%), and criminal damage and arson (13.6%). These figures reflect the area’s built-up character, where public spaces and community interactions play a significant role in shaping crime patterns. Violence and sexual offences, though the most frequent category, fell by 17.6% from October, a decline consistent with historical seasonal trends that see reduced violent crime as temperatures drop. Anti-social behaviour, while still below the UK average (43% lower), rose by 25% compared to the previous month, suggesting that localised issues such as noise complaints or disturbances may persist despite overall low rates. The area’s low crime environment is further reinforced by the significant underperformance of categories like shoplifting (52% below the UK average) and burglary (33% below), which may be attributed to Nailsea’s relatively small population and the absence of high-density retail or commercial hubs that typically drive such crimes. Seasonal context also plays a role: with November’s dark evenings and the proximity of Black Friday, the focus on property crime—particularly burglary—may have been influenced by increased home security measures or reduced opportunities for opportunistic theft. However, the sharp increase in criminal damage and arson remains an anomaly that warrants closer examination, linked to specific events or unaddressed vulnerabilities in the area’s infrastructure.

The most dramatic shift in November 2025 was the 350% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 2 to 9 incidents. This spike, while statistically extreme, may be partially explained by the timing of Bonfire Night, which typically falls in late October or early November. The absence of a similar surge in November 2024 suggests that local policing or community efforts may have mitigated risks this year. Concurrently, burglary rose by 100%, moving from zero to three incidents—a shift that could reflect seasonal changes in property security practices or increased visibility of vacant homes during the holiday season. In contrast, public order offences plummeted by 80%, dropping from five to one, linked to reduced public gatherings in colder weather. Violence and sexual offences, though still the most common category (42.4% of total crimes), fell by 17.6% compared to the previous month, a decline consistent with historical patterns where violent crime decreases as temperatures drop. These fluctuations highlight the combination of environmental factors and criminal activity, even in areas with generally low crime rates.

Nailsea's crime rate in November 2025 stood at 3.8 per 1,000 residents, a 7.1% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 4.1 per 1,000. This monthly decline aligns with broader seasonal trends observed in similar built-up areas, where colder weather and reduced daylight hours often correlate with lower outdoor activity and, consequently, fewer opportunities for certain types of crime. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately two crimes per day over the 30-day period, a figure that, while low, reflects the persistent presence of localised issues. When scaled to the population of 17,335, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for roughly every 263 residents. This statistic provides a tangible measure of risk for residents, though it must be noted that such figures do not account for unreported incidents or variations in policing effectiveness across different parts of the area. The combination of low overall rates and a downward trend suggests that Nailsea remains significantly safer than the UK average, though the nature of local crime—particularly the spikes in property-related offences—demands continued attention.