Powys Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences accounted for 50.2% of all crimes in Powys during January 2025, a figure that exceeds the UK average by 24%. This category, at 3.1 per 1,000 residents, stands out as the most significant outlier compared to the national profile. The overall crime rate for the area was 6.1 per 1,000 residents, 14.1% below the UK average of 7.1. This contrast is particularly notable given the seasonal context of January, which typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours, factors that may contribute to lower rates of property crimes and shoplifting. However, the persistence of violent crime at such a high proportion suggests underlying patterns that could relate to social dynamics or environmental factors. The second and third most common categories, criminal damage and arson (9.4%) and public order (9.4%), also exceeded UK averages by 18% and 30% respectively. These figures align with the area's character as a largely rural district with limited urban centres, where incidents of vandalism and disorder may be more concentrated in smaller communities. Anti-social behaviour, conversely, was 39% below the UK average, a trend that may reflect lower population density and fewer opportunities for such crimes to occur in densely populated areas. The data illustrates a combination of seasonal factors and local conditions, with violence and disorder crimes dominating the profile despite the overall lower rate compared to the UK. This pattern is consistent with the character of Powys as a rural area where community policing and social cohesion may play a role in mitigating certain types of crime, while other factors remain unaddressed.

The month-on-month analysis reveals several significant shifts in crime patterns. Burglary rates rose by 82.6% compared to December 2024, increasing from 23 to 42 incidents. This spike may be linked to seasonal factors such as the post-holiday period, when homes are more likely to be unoccupied. Concurrently, criminal damage and arson increased by 44.4%, with 78 incidents recorded—substantially above the UK average for this category. These trends contrast with a 50% decline in robbery, which fell from 2 to 1 incident, possibly reflecting changes in policing strategies or community reporting practices. Theft from the person also saw a 100% increase, rising from 1 to 2 incidents, highlighting a small but notable shift in violent crime patterns. The data also shows that anti-social behaviour remains 39% below the UK average, a consistent trend that may reflect the area's rural nature and lower population density. Other theft decreased by 34.5%, suggesting potential improvements in security measures or reduced opportunities for such crimes. These fluctuations underscore the dynamic nature of crime patterns in Powys, with certain categories showing marked increases while others demonstrate stability or decline. For residents, the rise in burglary and criminal damage may warrant increased vigilance during the winter months, particularly in areas with higher property concentrations.

The crime rate in Powys for January 2025 was 6.1 per 1,000 residents, a 9.3% increase from the previous month's rate of 5.6. This represents a localised uptick that, while modest, is significant in the context of the area's generally low crime profile. On a daily basis, 27 crimes were reported across the 31 days of January, averaging approximately one crime for every 163 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure figure provides a tangible measure of risk for residents, though it should be contextualised within the broader picture of Powys' overall safety. The population-scaled perspective reveals that the area's crime rate remains well below the UK average, despite the month-on-month increase. This contrast is particularly evident when considering the UK average of 7.1 crimes per 1,000 residents, which highlights the effectiveness of local policing and community initiatives in maintaining a lower baseline of criminal activity. The 9.3% rise from December to January may be attributed to the seasonal transition, as the post-holiday period often sees increased property crime and disorder incidents. However, the fact that Powys' rate remains significantly below the national average underscores the area's unique characteristics, including its rural landscape and potentially stronger community networks. For residents, these figures offer a nuanced understanding of local safety, balancing the recent increase with the broader context of sustained lower crime levels compared to the UK.