Powys Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

October 2025 marked a notable shift in Powys' crime profile, with a 9.4% increase in the overall crime rate compared to the previous month. At 5.8 crimes per 1,000 residents, the local authority district remains 24.7% below the UK average of 7.7 per 1,000, underscoring its relatively safer profile. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime picture, accounting for nearly half (49.6%) of all incidents reported — a rate of 2.9 per 1,000, 9% above the national average. This category's prominence may be linked to the area's rural character and seasonal factors, including the transition to darker evenings and Halloween, which often correlate with increased alcohol consumption and social gatherings. Anti-social behaviour, while still a concern, fell to 52% below the UK average, likely reflecting the sparse population density and limited urban centres in Powys. The crime breakdown also revealed stark contrasts: property crimes, including burglary and vehicle crime, were all significantly below the UK average, with vehicle crime at 52% below and burglary at 33% below. These trends align with the area's low population density and limited commercial activity, which may reduce opportunities for such crimes. However, the sharp rise in bicycle theft and theft from the person raises questions about whether recent events, such as increased outdoor activity or targeted criminal behaviour, have influenced these categories. As October progresses, the interplay between seasonal factors and local dynamics will be crucial in understanding these shifts.

The most dramatic month-on-month change in October 2025 was the 500% increase in bicycle theft, rising from 1 to 6 incidents. This sharp rise, coupled with a 300% jump in theft from the person, suggests potential shifts in local activity or targeted criminal behaviour. Conversely, robbery fell by 50%, from 2 to 1 incident, marking a significant decline in violent crime. Violence and sexual offences remained the most common category, accounting for nearly 50% of all crimes, and 9% above the UK average. Anti-social behaviour, however, dropped to 52% below the national rate, consistent with Powys' historically lower levels of such incidents. These fluctuations highlight the volatility of crime trends and the importance of monitoring specific categories for localised patterns.

Powys' crime rate in October 2025 rose by 9.4% compared to the previous month, reflecting a shift in local crime patterns. With 786 total crimes reported over 31 days, this equates to approximately 25 crimes per day — a figure that contextualises the frequency of incidents for residents. On a monthly basis, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 172 residents, a measure that highlights the relative scale of crime within the population. This increase follows a period of stability in earlier months, suggesting potential seasonal influences or changes in community activity. The rise in violent crime, particularly violence and sexual offences, contrasts with sustained declines in anti-social behaviour and vehicle crime. These trends indicate a dynamic interplay between local factors and broader national patterns, though the exact drivers remain to be explored through further analysis.