Llanharan and Brynna Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

July 2023 saw Llanharan and Brynna maintain a crime rate of 3.9 per 1,000 residents, significantly below the UK average of 8.3. This places the area 53% below national levels, a consistent trend reflecting the built-up area's relatively low exposure to crime compared to larger urban centres. The breakdown reveals a stark contrast between violent and property crimes, with violence and sexual offences comprising 45.2% of total incidents, followed by anti-social behaviour at 12.9%. These figures align with the area's character as a smaller, less densely populated locality within Rhondda Cynon Taf, where community cohesion may contribute to lower violent crime rates. Seasonal factors also appear to influence patterns: with schools out and tourism in peak season, the data suggests a potential link between increased outdoor activity and the 14 reported violent crimes. However, this is tempered by the overall drop in property-related incidents, which fell to 7 (22.6% of total) from higher levels in previous months. The low rate of burglary (3.2% of total crimes) and anti-social behaviour (65% below UK average) further supports the notion of a stable, community-oriented environment. While July's peak summer conditions might typically correlate with higher crime in some areas, the data here illustrates a different dynamic—influenced by local policing efforts or the area's geographic isolation from major transport hubs.

July 2023 marked a 38% year-on-year decline in the area's crime rate, with the most notable shift being the doubling of other theft incidents (from 1 to 3, a 200% increase). This spike may reflect increased outdoor activity during the summer months, though it remains a small proportion of total crimes. Conversely, public order offences dropped by two-thirds (from 6 to 2), potentially linked to reduced alcohol-related incidents during the holiday season. The area's violent crime rate (1.8 per 1,000) remains 35% below the UK average, a consistent trend that may be attributable to the built-up area's smaller population and lower density of nightlife venues. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.5 per 1,000, is 65% below the UK average, suggesting effective local community engagement or policing. A surprising anomaly is 'other crime' incidents, which rose 100% to 2 cases and are 114% above the UK average. This category, which includes unclassified offences, may warrant closer scrutiny, though its small numbers mean it's unlikely to impact overall trends significantly. The 100% increase in burglary cases (from 0 to 1) could indicate isolated incidents rather than a systemic issue, given the area's historically low burglary rate (70% below UK average). These fluctuations highlight the need for ongoing monitoring, particularly as seasonal patterns shift.

The crime rate in July 2023 (3.9 per 1,000) represents a 38% decrease from June's rate of 6.3, marking a significant downward trend. This reduction is most evident in daily crime statistics, where the area recorded an average of 1 crime per day over the month—a figure that, while modest, underscores the consistency of local policing efforts. On a population-scaled basis, the monthly exposure of 1 crime per 255 residents provides a tangible measure of risk for residents, placing the area among the lowest in the UK for crime frequency. When compared to the previous month, the shift in crime mix is striking: violent crimes now account for 45.2% of total incidents, compared to 38% in June, while property-related crimes dropped to 22.6% (from 33.3%). This suggests a seasonal realignment, with violent incidents possibly linked to increased foot traffic during summer festivals and events. The daily crime count, while low, remains a useful metric for residents to contextualise risk—particularly when compared to the UK average of 8.3 crimes per 1,000. The area's population of 7,907 further highlights the impact of small numbers: even a single additional incident can significantly alter percentages. These statistics collectively illustrate a community with relatively stable crime patterns, where local initiatives may be effectively mitigating risks associated with summer activity spikes.