Llanharan and Brynna Crime Rate September 2023 | Monthly Statistics

The crime profile for Llanharan and Brynna in September 2023 reveals a striking dominance of violent crime, with violence and sexual offences making up nearly half (49.1%) of all reported incidents. This stark contrast to the UK average, where such crimes account for 28% of the total, underscores a distinct local dynamic. The area’s crime rate of 7.2 per 1,000 residents—10% below the UK average of 8.0—suggests a combination of factors. Seasonal context may play a role: as September marks the return to school and university freshers, increased social activity in communal spaces could contribute to higher rates of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. However, the balance of crime types remains skewed toward violence, with property crimes comprising just 17.5% of the total. This divergence from the UK pattern, where property crimes typically dominate, may reflect local demographics or environmental factors. For instance, the absence of major retail hubs or high-density housing could reduce opportunities for theft, while the presence of community spaces might foster interactions that escalate into violent incidents. The data also highlights a marked increase in criminal damage and arson, which rose by 200% compared to August, linked to seasonal changes in outdoor activity or unseasonal weather patterns. Overall, the crime mix illustrates an area where interpersonal conflicts and public disorder are more prevalent than property-related crimes, a trend that may warrant further analysis in conjunction with local events or infrastructure changes.

September 2023 saw a 200% increase in criminal damage and arson, jumping from 2 to 6 incidents—a sharp rise that may reflect seasonal shifts in outdoor activity or unseasonal weather. This surge was accompanied by a 100% rise in both possession of weapons and drug-related crimes, though these remain low in absolute terms. Conversely, public order offences dropped by 36.4% (from 11 to 7), and anti-social behaviour fell by 28.6% (from 14 to 10), suggesting a possible reduction in disruptive activity during the month. The area’s violent crime rate of 3.5 per 1,000 residents is 28% above the UK average, while vehicle crime is 38% below the national figure. This contrast may indicate that local factors—such as the absence of major commuter hubs or car-centric infrastructure—limit opportunities for vehicle-related offences. Residents might find the 10% overall crime rate reduction compared to the UK average reassuring, though the prominence of violent crimes raises questions about community safety measures. The data also shows that shoplifting and other thefts are 80-83% below UK averages, reflecting lower foot traffic in retail areas or effective local deterrents.

The crime rate in September 2023 rose by 14.1% compared to August, climbing from 6.3 to 7.2 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, is significant when viewed through the lens of daily crime exposure: over 30 days, the area experienced roughly 2 crimes per day, equivalent to one reported crime for every 139 residents during the month. This monthly exposure rate provides a tangible sense of risk for local residents, though it remains lower than the UK average when scaled to population size. The previous month’s rate of 6.3 per 1,000 suggests a gradual upward trend, potentially influenced by seasonal factors such as the return to school and the start of university term, which may increase social interactions in public spaces. However, the overall rate still remains 10% below the UK average, indicating that the area’s crime profile is not aligned with national trends. This discrepancy could be attributed to local characteristics, such as a smaller population or less densely populated urban infrastructure, which may limit opportunities for certain types of crime. The daily crime context also highlights that while the area is not immune to rising crime, its relatively low population density and the absence of high-risk environments may contribute to its continued position below the UK average.