Llanharan and Brynna Crime Rate November 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Violence and sexual offences dominate the crime profile in Llanharan and Brynna for November 2024, accounting for 63.3% of all reported crimes. At 6.2 crimes per 1,000 residents, the area’s overall crime rate is 18.4% below the UK average of 7.6 per 1,000. This marks a slight improvement from previous months but highlights the persistent challenge of violent crime in the built-up area. The data shows a stark contrast between local and national trends: while violence in Llanharan and Brynna is 51% higher than the UK average, anti-social behaviour is 55% below the national rate. Seasonal factors likely play a role in the November statistics, with dark evenings and the timing of Bonfire Night potentially contributing to increased incidents of violence. The area’s crime picture reflects the combination of local demographics and seasonal rhythms, with 31 violent crimes reported in a community of 7,907 residents. The sharp rise in criminal damage and arson (+500% month-on-month) suggests a spike in property-related incidents during this period. This contrasts with a significant drop in drug-related crimes (-75% month-on-month), though the latter’s low base rate (0.1 per 1,000) limits the impact of this decline. The dominance of violent crime over property crime underscores the need for targeted interventions in public spaces, particularly in areas with high foot traffic during the late autumn months.

November 2024 saw a dramatic 500% increase in criminal damage and arson, rising from 1 to 6 incidents. This surge, coupled with a 29.2% rise in violence and sexual offences (from 24 to 31), points to a significant shift in the crime mix. While violent crime remains the dominant category, its rate of 3.9 per 1,000 is 51% above the UK average, indicating a localised challenge. Conversely, anti-social behaviour and public order offences fell sharply, with the former dropping 33.3% and the latter 50% month-on-month. These declines may reflect improved community engagement or increased policing in public spaces. The drop in drug-related crimes (-75%) is particularly noteworthy, though the category’s already low base rate (0.1 per 1,000) means its absolute impact remains limited. Residents may find the 29.2% rise in violent crime most alarming, as it represents a 7 additional incidents compared to October. This increase is consistent with the dark evenings and seasonal events like Bonfire Night, which can heighten tensions in community areas. The contrast between local and national trends—such as violence being 51% above the UK average but anti-social behaviour 55% below—suggests a unique local dynamic that warrants further analysis.

The crime rate in Llanharan and Brynna rose slightly in November 2024, from 6.1 to 6.2 per 1,000 residents—a 2.1% increase. This places the area’s monthly crime exposure at 1 reported crime for every 161 residents, a figure that provides context for local residents. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of 2 crimes per day over the 30-day period, a manageable rate compared to larger urban centres. However, the 29.2% month-on-month rise in violent crime contrasts sharply with the overall stability in the total crime rate. The population-scaled perspective reveals that while the area remains safer than the UK average (18.4% lower), the concentration of violent crime in a small community of 7,907 residents raises concerns. The 500% increase in criminal damage and arson, though starting from a low base, may indicate vulnerabilities in property security or unaddressed community tensions. These statistics highlight the importance of tailored local strategies, as the area’s crime profile differs significantly from both national trends and other regions within Wales. The daily crime count, while low, underscores the need for vigilance in public spaces, particularly during events like Bonfire Night when crime rates can spike.