Mountain Ash Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

Mountain Ash's crime profile in July 2023 reveals a combination of local conditions and national trends. The area's overall crime rate of 6.6 per 1,000 residents places it 20.5% below the UK average of 8.3 per 1,000, a position that may reflect the built-up area's unique characteristics. As a small urban centre within Rhondda Cynon Taf, Mountain Ash's crime profile is shaped by its proximity to both industrial and residential zones, which could influence patterns in property and violent crime. The most prevalent category—violence and sexual offences—accounted for 53.3% of all crimes, a figure that is 26% higher than the UK average. This suggests that local factors, such as the density of the population or the presence of social services, may contribute to the relatively high share of violent crime. Seasonal context also plays a role: July, a peak summer month, typically sees increased outdoor activity and tourism, which could drive certain types of crime, such as public order offences. Conversely, the 100% increase in burglary and robbery may be linked to the timing of festivals or events that draw transient populations to the area. The overall crime rate, however, remains lower than the UK average, a position that may be reinforced by local policing efforts or community-based initiatives that have proven effective in reducing crime in similar built-up areas.

July 2023 saw notable shifts in crime patterns compared to June. Burglary, robbery, and bicycle theft each increased by 100% from zero to one or two incidents, reflecting a sudden uptick in property-related crime. This contrasts with steep declines in other categories: public order offences fell by 73.3%, criminal damage and arson dropped 66.7%, and shoplifting decreased by 60%. The violent crime category—violence and sexual offences—remained 26% above the UK average, despite a slight overall rate reduction. Anti-social behaviour, meanwhile, was 15% below the UK average, a trend consistent with other areas where community engagement initiatives may contribute to lower levels of disruptive conduct. For residents, the 100% increase in burglary and robbery highlights the need for heightened vigilance in securing properties during the summer months, a period when tourist activity and seasonal events may influence crime dynamics.

Mountain Ash's crime rate in July 2023 stood at 6.6 per 1,000 residents, a 25.9% decrease from the previous month's rate of 8.9 per 1,000. This decline aligns with broader seasonal patterns observed in similar built-up areas, where summer holidays and school closures may reduce certain types of crime. Locally, the daily crime count averaged roughly two incidents per day, a figure that, while low, reflects the small population of 11,654 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 151 residents, a ratio that contextualises the scale of crime in relation to the community. Compared to the UK average, Mountain Ash's overall crime rate remains 20.5% below the national figure, a position that suggests the area's policing strategies or demographic profile may contribute to this disparity. The monthly exposure metric—1-in-151 residents—provides a tangible reference for residents to assess risk relative to their population size, though it does not account for variations in individual vulnerability or localised hotspots.