Tonyrefail Crime Rate February 2025 | Monthly Statistics

For an area of 9,536 residents, Tonyrefail recorded 71 crimes in February 2025, translating to a crime rate of 7.5 per 1,000 people—11.9% above the UK average of 6.7 per 1,000. This places Tonyrefail in a higher-risk bracket nationally, though the absolute number of crimes remains relatively low compared to larger urban centres. The most common crime types were violence and sexual offences (28 incidents, 39.4% of total), public order offences (13 incidents, 18.3%), and anti-social behaviour (10 incidents, 14.1%). These figures contrast with the UK averages for similar categories, where violence and sexual offences averaged 2.4 per 1,000 (23% below Tonyrefail’s rate) and public order offences averaged 0.4 per 1,000 (218% below). The seasonal context of February—a winter month with reduced outdoor activity and a pre-spring lull—may contribute to the prominence of indoor-focused crimes like violence and public order issues. The low rates of property crimes (14 total, 19.7% of all crimes) suggest that burglary and vehicle crime, which averaged 0.3 and 0.4 per 1,000 nationally respectively, are not significant drivers in Tonyrefail. This pattern aligns with the area’s character as a built-up district within Rhondda Cynon Taf, where social dynamics and community interactions may influence crime profiles more than economic or geographic factors. The data highlights a need for targeted interventions in public order and violence prevention, particularly in areas with high foot traffic or community gatherings.

February 2025 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories, with public order offences surging by 116.7% (from 6 to 13 incidents) and drugs-related crimes doubling (from 0 to 3). This rise in public order offences, which are 218% above the UK average, suggests heightened tensions or disruptions in communal spaces. Conversely, criminal damage and arson dropped by 62.5% (from 8 to 3), and shoplifting fell by 55.6% (from 9 to 4), potentially reflecting seasonal trends or localized efforts to deter such crimes. The category of anti-social behaviour, though not as extreme in its UK comparison (13% above the national average of 1.0 per 1,000), remains a persistent concern, accounting for 14.1% of all reported crimes. Shoplifting and other theft rates were 35% and 38% below UK averages, respectively, which may indicate effective retail security measures or a lower prevalence of opportunistic theft in the area. The increase in drugs-related crimes, now at 0.3 per 1,000, could signal emerging patterns or shifts in local drug markets, though further analysis would be required to confirm this. Residents may find the 5.6% share of shoplifting crimes (4 incidents) particularly relevant, as this category is typically linked to retail environments and could reflect changes in consumer behaviour or enforcement practices.

The crime rate in Tonyrefail for February 2025 (7.5 per 1,000) was marginally higher than the previous month’s rate of 7.3 per 1,000—a 1.5% increase, suggesting a stable but slightly elevated trend. Over the course of the month, this translated to an average of 3 crimes per day, a figure that, while modest, underscores the continuous presence of criminal activity in the area. On a population-scaled basis, the monthly exposure to crime was 1 in every 134 residents, a rate that, when contextualized, may appear manageable for a community of 9,536 people. However, this figure should be interpreted with caution, as it aggregates all crime types without distinguishing between violent and non-violent incidents. The comparison to the UK average also highlights disparities: while Tonyrefail’s overall rate is higher, specific categories like public order and violence are elevated. This contrast may reflect the area’s built-up nature and the associated social interactions that contribute to such crimes. For example, the 18.3% share of public order offences, which are 218% above the UK average, could be influenced by local events or community dynamics that differ from the national profile. Residents may benefit from understanding these comparative figures to assess risks relative to broader trends, though the absolute numbers remain relatively low in an absolute sense.