Tonyrefail Crime Rate September 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Tonyrefail’s crime profile in September 2025 reveals a distinct imbalance between violent and property crime, with violent offences (26 incidents) outnumbering property crimes (19) by a margin that could reflect seasonal dynamics. The overall crime rate of 7.1 per 1,000 residents places the area 4.1% below the UK average of 7.4 per 1,000, suggesting a relatively stable security environment compared to national trends. Violence and sexual offences dominate the breakdown, accounting for 38.2% of all recorded crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (17.7%) and criminal damage and arson (16.2%). This distribution may partly explain the area’s position in the UK ranking, as violent crime rates are 5% above the national average for this category. The seasonal context of September—marked by the return to school and university freshers’ week—could contribute to increased social interactions in public spaces, amplifying incidents of violence and anti-social behaviour. Conversely, property crime rates remain lower than the UK average for categories like burglary (64% below) and vehicle crime (75% below), which may reflect the area’s built-up character and lower density of commercial premises compared to more industrial or urban centres. The data illustrates a combination of local demographics and seasonal rhythms, with the emphasis on violent crime likely tied to the area’s social fabric during this transitional month.

September 2025 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories, with anti-social behaviour rising 50% from 8 to 12 incidents, and other crime increasing by 100% to 4 cases. These changes contrast with declines in other theft (down 57.1%) and public order offences (down 50%), which may indicate shifting patterns in community activity or policing focus. The violent crime rate—2.7 per 1,000—exceeds the UK average for this category (2.6 per 1,000) by 5%, while property crime rates remain consistently below national benchmarks, particularly for burglary (64% below UK average) and vehicle crime (75% below). This divergence between violent and property crime trends could signal a localised emphasis on social issues over economic crimes, linked to the area’s built-up nature and the seasonal influx of students and young people. A resident might find the 100% increase in robbery cases—from zero to one incident—particularly noteworthy, as it highlights a rare but concerning spike in targeted personal crime during the month.

Tonyrefail’s crime rate in September 2025 (7.1 per 1,000) marks a 4.5% increase compared to August’s rate of 6.8 per 1,000, reflecting a gradual uptick in reported incidents over the month. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 2 crimes per day in September, a figure that translates to a monthly exposure of one reported crime for every 140 residents. This ratio provides a tangible sense of the scale of crime relative to the local population of 9,536, illustrating that while the overall rate remains below the UK average, the increase from the previous month suggests a need for continued monitoring. The comparison to the UK average also highlights stark contrasts in specific categories: criminal damage and arson in Tonyrefail are 126% above the national rate, while public order offences are 7% below. These discrepancies may reflect the area’s unique characteristics, such as its built-up environment fostering higher rates of vandalism, or its community policing efforts potentially reducing public order disturbances. The 4.5% monthly rise, though modest, could be influenced by the transition into the autumn term, with increased foot traffic and social gatherings in public spaces contributing to the upward trend.