Long Lawford Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Long Lawford's crime profile in January 2024 revealed a paradoxical combination of overall low rates and a sharp spike in violent offences. The area's total crime rate of 3.5 per 1,000 residents – 52.7% below the UK average – highlights its continued position as one of the safest built-up areas in the Rugby region. However, the month saw a dramatic 160% increase in violence and sexual offences, which accounted for 56.5% of all reported crimes. This category, typically lower than the UK average (2.6 per 1,000), rose from five to thirteen incidents, an anomaly in a month typically associated with reduced outdoor activity due to shorter daylight hours. The crime mix shifted significantly, with violent offences overtaking property crimes for the first time in recent records. While other theft remained 12% below the UK average (0.5 per 1,000), the unexpected rise in violence suggests factors beyond seasonal patterns may be at play. The area's low vehicle crime rate (0.2 per 1,000) and anti-social behaviour incidents (0.2 per 1,000) – both 60% and 80% below UK averages respectively – contrast with the surge in violent crime. This divergence may partly explain by the area's unique characteristics, including its proximity to Rugby's retail hub and the presence of multiple educational institutions that could influence local demographics. The post-holiday period in January, often marked by reduced foot traffic and lower retail activity, did not align with the violent crime increase, suggesting potential unmet needs or pressures within the community that warrant further attention.

The most striking development in January 2024 was the 160% increase in violence and sexual offences, rising from five to thirteen incidents. This surge, coupled with a 100% rise in both vehicle crime and public order offences, contrasts sharply with a 50% decline in other crime and anti-social behaviour. Violence and sexual offences, now accounting for 56.5% of total crimes, remain 23% below the UK average of 2.6 per 1,000. The spike in violence defies seasonal expectations, as January typically sees reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours. A resident would note that vehicle crime, which had not occurred in December, now stands at 0.2 per 1,000 – a stark anomaly given the area's generally low vehicle crime rates. The shift in crime mix, with violent offences overtaking property crimes for the first time in recent months, warrants attention to local factors that may have contributed to this change.

Long Lawford's crime rate in January 2024 rose 53.3% compared to the previous month, climbing from 2.3 to 3.5 per 1,000 residents. This increase occurred despite the area maintaining a crime rate 52.7% below the UK average. Locally, the monthly exposure figure shows that over the course of January, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 290 residents, a statistic that contextualises the low overall rate in human terms. On a daily basis, Long Lawford recorded approximately one crime per day during January, a figure that, while consistent with the area's historically low crime profile, marks a notable uptick from December's pace. The population-scaled perspective reveals that with 6,660 residents, the community's collective risk remains significantly lower than national benchmarks, though the month-on-month shift suggests a temporary fluctuation in local dynamics.