Cotgrave Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Cotgrave's crime profile in January 2026 revealed an unexpected surge in shoplifting, with reported incidents rising from one to six—a 500% increase over the previous month. This marked departure from seasonal norms, which typically see reduced retail-related crimes in January due to post-holiday lulls and shorter daylight hours. The overall crime rate of 6.5 per 1,000 residents placed Cotgrave 4.4% below the UK average of 6.8, reflecting a generally safer environment compared to national trends. Violence and sexual offences accounted for 35.2% of all crimes, mirroring the UK average for this category but showing an 8% deficit in the UK's benchmark rate. Anti-social behaviour remained a persistent concern, contributing 14.8% of incidents, though its rate was 8% above the UK average. The seasonal context of January—characterised by reduced retail footfall and colder weather—may partly explain the unusual spike in shoplifting, which typically aligns with festive periods rather than post-holiday periods. This anomaly suggests a potential shift in criminal activity patterns, possibly linked to end-of-season clearance events or unseasonal retail promotions. The area's built-up nature within Rushcliffe, combined with its proximity to retail hubs, may create conditions where shoplifting becomes more prevalent during transitional periods. While violent crime rates remained stable, the disproportionate rise in property-related thefts highlights a need for targeted interventions in retail spaces. Cotgrave's lower-than-average overall crime rate, despite this spike, underscores the effectiveness of local policing strategies in mitigating broader criminal activity.

The most striking anomaly in January 2026 was the 500% increase in shoplifting, which rose from one to six incidents. This jump defied typical seasonal trends, as January usually sees fewer retail crimes due to post-holiday reduced footfall. The category's rate of 0.7 per 1,000 residents was 23% above the UK average, suggesting local factors—such as targeted retail promotions or unseasonal stock clearance—may have contributed. Other theft also saw a dramatic rise, with a 250% increase from two to seven incidents, reaching a rate of 0.9 per 1,000 residents—96% above the UK average. This suggests a possible convergence of factors, such as increased unsecured property in residential areas or heightened opportunistic theft during colder weather. Conversely, drugs-related crimes fell sharply by 75%, from four to one incident, aligning with the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000 but showing a 64% deficit. This decline could reflect seasonal changes in drug trade dynamics or successful local enforcement efforts. Anti-social behaviour. from nine to eight incidents, remained 8% above the UK average, indicating persistent challenges in community engagement. Residents may find the daily crime rate of two incidents per day—a local figure for Cotgrave—particularly relevant, as it provides a tangible measure of risk against the broader UK context.

Cotgrave's crime rate of 6.5 per 1,000 residents in January 2026 marked a 28.7% increase from December's 5.1, reflecting a notable shift in local crime dynamics. This rise, however, still left Cotgrave 4.4% below the UK average, highlighting its relatively safer standing nationally. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately two crimes per day—a figure that, while seemingly modest, underscores the cumulative impact of recurring incidents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 153 residents, a monthly aggregate that provides context for residents assessing personal risk. This ratio, though lower than the UK average in several categories, does not obscure the specific vulnerabilities in Cotgrave, such as the 96% above-average rate for other theft. The population-scaled perspective reveals that, despite the overall rate being below the UK benchmark, certain crime types affect the area. For instance, the 23% above-average shoplifting rate, combined with the 25% above-average criminal damage and arson figures, indicates a need for tailored interventions in retail and public spaces. Cotgrave's position as a built-up area within Rushcliffe, with its mix of residential and commercial zones, likely contributes to these patterns. The comparison with the previous month also shows that while violent crime rates remained stable, property-related crimes surged, suggesting a shift in criminal focus during the winter months.