Patchway Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Patchway’s January 2026 crime rate of 14.4 per 1,000 places it 111.8% above the UK average of 6.8 per 1,000, highlighting a stark contrast to national trends. The area’s crime profile is dominated by violent and sexual offences (36.3% of all incidents), followed by shoplifting (18%) and public order offences (10.1%). This emphasis on violent crime, which is 108% above the UK average, suggests a localised challenge in maintaining public safety, potentially influenced by factors such as population density, social dynamics, or policing strategies. Meanwhile, shoplifting’s sharp decline—though not unexpected in January’s post-holiday lull—may indicate a temporary reduction in retail-related crime. The seasonal context of January, with shorter days and reduced outdoor activity, likely contributes to lower rates of crimes typically associated with open spaces, such as vehicle theft or burglary. However, the rise in criminal damage and arson, which is 150% above the UK average, could reflect colder weather conditions or unaddressed infrastructure issues. These patterns underscore the combination of environmental factors, community engagement, and law enforcement in shaping local crime trends. While the overall rate remains elevated, the balance between property and violent crime offers insights into the area’s unique challenges, requiring targeted interventions to address the most pressing concerns.

January 2026 saw a 46.6% drop in shoplifting, from 103 to 55, the most significant monthly decline in this category. This decrease may partly reflect post-holiday reduced retail footfall. Conversely, bicycle theft surged by 100%, rising from zero to three incidents, a trend that could indicate seasonal shifts in cycling activity or targeted thefts. Criminal damage and arson also increased by 85.7%, from 14 to 26, linked to colder weather or unaddressed property maintenance. Violent crimes accounted for 36.3% of all reported incidents, significantly outpacing the UK average for this category by 108%. This imbalance suggests a localised focus on addressing public order and safety, though the underlying causes require further analysis. The 60% rise in 'other crime' may reflect unclassified incidents or reporting patterns, warranting closer attention from local authorities.

Patchway’s crime rate in January 2026 remained stable at 14.5 per 1,000, a 0.6% decrease from the previous month. While the overall rate is significantly higher than the UK average, the month-on-month consistency suggests no major shifts in policing or community initiatives. On a daily basis, Patchway recorded approximately 10 crimes per day, a figure that, when scaled to the area’s population of 21,282, translates to one reported crime for every 70 residents over the course of the month. This monthly exposure rate highlights the frequency of crime in a local context, though it does not account for variations in individual risk or community-specific factors. The population-scaled perspective underscores that, while the area’s crime rate is elevated, it remains a relatively small proportion of the total population. This balance between aggregate statistics and individual experience may help residents contextualise their own safety perceptions.