Stoke Gifford Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Stoke Gifford recorded a crime rate of 6.3 per 1,000 residents in January 2026, a figure that places it 7.4% below the UK average of 6.8 per 1,000. This sustained performance reflects a combination of local factors and seasonal influences, with the post-holiday period and shorter daylight hours likely contributing to a shift in crime patterns. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, accounting for 32.1% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (14.2%) and shoplifting (11.9%). The seasonal context of January—characterised by reduced retail footfall and colder weather—may explain the lower incidence of outdoor crimes typically associated with summer months. However, the area’s built-up nature and proximity to commercial centres could still drive certain offences, such as shoplifting and vehicle crime, which are often linked to high-traffic areas. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.5 per 1,000, meaning Stoke Gifford’s rate of 2.0 per 1,000 is 20% below, suggesting that local initiatives or environmental factors may be contributing to this trend. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.9 per 1,000, is also 3% below the UK average, reflecting community policing efforts or effective noise management strategies. While the overall rate remains stable, the interplay between seasonal shifts and local dynamics will continue to shape crime trends in the coming months.

January 2026 saw significant fluctuations in specific crime categories. Vehicle crime surged by 275%, rising from 4 to 15 incidents, a sharp increase that may reflect colder weather driving more vehicle-related offences or increased anti-theft measures prompting more reported cases. Shoplifting also rose by 77.8%, with 16 incidents recorded—40% above the UK average. This could be linked to the post-holiday period and reduced retail footfall, creating opportunities for opportunistic theft. Conversely, other theft decreased by 50%, from 18 to 9 incidents, due to seasonal changes or improved security in high-risk areas. Bicycle theft also fell by 50%, from 2 to 1, a decline that may indicate effective bike-sharing programmes or increased awareness among residents. Criminal damage and arson decreased by 20%, aligning with the seasonal context of shorter days and reduced outdoor activity, which may limit opportunities for such crimes.

Stoke Gifford’s crime rate in January 2026 rose slightly to 6.3 per 1,000 residents, a 6.4% increase from the previous month’s 6.0 per 1,000. While this marks a minor uptick, the overall rate remains 7.4% below the UK average of 6.8 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 4 crimes per day over the 31-day period, a figure that translates to roughly one reported crime for every 158 residents during the month. This monthly exposure rate, while low, highlights the persistent presence of crime in a built-up area with a population of 21,181. The increase in January is likely influenced by seasonal factors, such as reduced daylight hours and post-holiday economic activity, which may temporarily disrupt routine patterns. However, the relatively low crime rate compared to the UK average suggests that local initiatives or environmental factors—such as effective policing or community engagement—may be contributing to sustained safety levels despite the monthly rise.