Thornbury Crime Rate October 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 13,915, Thornbury recorded 44 crimes in October 2023, equating to a crime rate of 3.2 per 1,000 residents. This figure, 60% below the UK average of 8.0 per 1,000, positions Thornbury as one of the safest built-up areas in South Gloucestershire. The crime profile reveals a distinct emphasis on violent and sexual offences, which accounted for 47.7% of all incidents (21 cases), compared to property crimes at 18.2% (8 cases). This imbalance may reflect the area's character as a compact town with a strong community focus, where interpersonal conflicts and targeted violence are more prevalent than opportunistic theft. Seasonal factors appear to have influenced the pattern: the return to darker evenings in October, coupled with Halloween, may have contributed to the 47.7% share of violent crimes. However, the overall low rate suggests effective local policing or community engagement strategies. Anti-social behaviour (8 cases) and other theft (4 cases) remained well below UK averages, with the former 53% and latter 52% lower than national figures. This stability contrasts with the surge in robberies, which, while small in scale, highlights the need for continued vigilance in high-traffic areas during the autumn months.

October 2023 saw stark contrasts in Thornbury's crime trends, with robbery incidents surging by 200% (from 1 to 3 cases). This increase, though small in absolute terms, pushed Thornbury's robbery rate above the UK average (0.1 vs 0.2 per 1,000). Conversely, anti-social behaviour dropped by 42.9% (from 14 to 8 cases), likely reflecting the impact of local initiatives targeting public order during October. The category breakdown also revealed a notable shift: violent crimes (21 cases) now constitute 47.7% of total incidents, a 9.5% increase compared to property crimes (11 cases). This shift may partly explain the area's 60% deficit to the UK average, as violent crime rates in Thornbury (1.5 per 1,000) are 44% below the national figure. The simultaneous rise in shoplifting (from 0 to 3 cases) and drugs-related incidents (from 0 to 1 case) highlights the need for targeted interventions in retail and community spaces during the darker evenings of October.

Thornbury's crime rate in October 2023 (3.2 per 1,000 residents) marks a 12.0% decrease from the previous month's rate of 3.6 per 1,000. This decline, though modest, aligns with broader trends observed in built-up areas of South Gloucestershire during late autumn. On a daily basis, the area recorded approximately one crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that underscores the relatively low frequency of criminal activity in this community. When scaled to the population of 13,915, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime occurring for roughly every 316 residents, a statistic that contextualises the rarity of incidents within the local population. This monthly aggregate, while not directly comparable to national averages due to differing population scales, highlights Thornbury's consistent position as a low-crime area. The absence of significant spikes in property-related crimes, despite seasonal factors like Halloween, further reinforces the stability of the area's crime profile during this period.