Thornbury Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For a town of 13,915 residents, 66 crimes reported in October 2024 equate to one crime occurring for every 211 residents over the course of the month. This total crime rate of 4.7 per 1,000 residents places Thornbury 42% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. The breakdown shows violence and sexual offences (23 cases) as the most common category, accounting for 35% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (14 cases) and criminal damage and arson (7 cases). These patterns align with Thornbury’s character as a small built-up area within South Gloucestershire, where community-focused policing and lower population density may contribute to comparatively lower crime rates. Seasonal factors in October, including darker evenings and the approach of Halloween, may influence patterns of anti-social behaviour and public order offences. The relatively low levels of property crime compared to the UK average—particularly in shoplifting (72% below the UK rate) and vehicle crime (79% below)—suggest that local initiatives or the area’s layout may deter certain types of offences. However, the rise in possession of weapons (from zero to one case) highlights the need for continued vigilance in addressing emerging threats.

October 2024 saw notable shifts in Thornbury’s crime profile, with possession of weapons and robbery both increasing by 100% compared to the previous month, reflecting a rare spike in specific categories. Anti-social behaviour also rose by 27.3%, reaching 14 cases, which may be linked to seasonal factors such as shorter daylight hours and Halloween-related activity. Conversely, shoplifting and public order offences both declined significantly—by 57.1% and 53.3% respectively—potentially due to increased police visibility or changes in community behaviour. Violence and sexual offences, though remaining the most common category, were 36% below the UK average at 1.7 per 1,000 residents, a trend consistent with Thornbury’s overall lower crime rate. The category of burglary, however, was 21% above the UK average (0.4 vs 0.3 per 1,000), suggesting that targeted interventions may be needed in areas with higher property vulnerability. These fluctuations illustrate the dynamic nature of local crime patterns and the importance of real-time monitoring to address emerging trends.

Thornbury’s crime rate in October 2024 (4.7 per 1,000) marked a 28.3% decrease from the previous month’s rate of 6.6 per 1,000, indicating a meaningful downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced an average of 2 crimes per day in October, a figure that may be more relatable to residents than aggregate monthly statistics. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for every 211 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than the UK average when scaled to Thornbury’s population. This comparison is particularly relevant for local residents seeking context for their safety, as it translates abstract statistics into tangible terms. The population-scaled perspective also highlights Thornbury’s relative security compared to larger urban areas, where higher population density often correlates with increased crime rates. While the town’s overall crime rate remains well below national benchmarks, the 21% increase in burglary compared to the UK average (0.4 vs 0.3 per 1,000) underscores the need for targeted measures in areas where property crime persists. These figures, when viewed alongside the monthly declines in shoplifting and public order offences, illustrate a community actively managing its crime profile through a combination of local policing efforts and natural demographic factors.