Thornbury Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Thornbury's crime profile in November 2025 presents an intriguing contrast between expected seasonal trends and unexpected spikes in specific crime categories. The most surprising development is the 300% increase in robbery cases, a sharp departure from the area's typically stable crime profile. This surge, occurring alongside a 200% rise in vehicle crime and 75% increase in burglary, suggests a significant shift in criminal activity that defies the usual patterns associated with November's darker evenings and retail events. Thornbury's overall crime rate of 5.8 per 1,000 residents places it 20.5% below the UK average, a position reinforced by particularly low rates in drug-related crime (63% below UK average) and other theft (61% below UK average). However, this comparative safety is partially offset by public order offences, which are 49% above the UK average, a figure that may reflect the area's built-up character and the density of its population. The dominance of violence and sexual offences at 43.8% of all crimes, despite being 3% below the UK average, underscores the persistent challenge of interpersonal crime in urban settings. Seasonal factors such as Black Friday shopping and Bonfire Night may have contributed to some of these patterns, though the robbery spike remains unexplained by standard seasonal indicators. The area's relatively low property crime rate (29.8% of total crimes) suggests that targeted prevention efforts may be working, but the unexpected rise in violent crime and theft-related offences indicates the need for ongoing vigilance. Thornbury's position as a built-up area within South Gloucestershire means its crime profile must be understood in the context of both local demographics and broader regional trends, with the November data offering both reassurance and areas for concern.

November 2025 saw a dramatic 300% increase in robbery cases, rising from 1 to 4 incidents. This sharp rise, coupled with a 200% surge in vehicle crime and a 75% increase in burglary, highlights an unexpected shift in crime dynamics. The breakdown of crime types reveals a significant imbalance: violence and sexual offences dominate at 43.8% of total crimes, a figure that is 3% below the UK average. Meanwhile, public order offences in Thornbury are 49% above the UK average, a discrepancy that may reflect local community engagement patterns or policing focus. Anti-social behaviour, though a major category, has decreased by 47.4% compared to October, suggesting potential success in addressing nuisance crime. Residents may find the 300% robbery increase particularly concerning, as it represents the most extreme month-on-month fluctuation in the area's crime profile.

Thornbury's crime rate in November 2025 fell by 11.1% compared to the previous month, declining from 6.5 to 5.8 per 1,000 residents. This downward trend contrasts with the seasonal context of November, which typically sees increased activity around Black Friday shopping and Bonfire Night events. Locally, the average resident faces a 1-in-174 chance of experiencing a reported crime over the course of the month, a figure that contextualises the scale of risk within the built-up area. Daily crime statistics show an average of 3 crimes per day in Thornbury, a rate that remains lower than the UK average when aggregated over the month. The population of 13,915 residents provides a baseline for understanding how crime distribution aligns with local demographics, though no direct comparisons to UK-wide population metrics are available. This reduction in crime rate, despite the month's typical seasonal pressures, suggests potential effectiveness in local policing strategies or community initiatives, though further analysis would be required to confirm such links.