Thornbury Crime Rate January 2026 | Monthly Statistics

Thornbury’s overall crime rate for January 2026 stood at 5.9 crimes per 1,000 residents, placing it 13.2% below the UK average of 6.8 per 1,000. This performance reflects a combination of local factors and broader seasonal trends, with the post-holiday period likely contributing to reduced retail footfall and fewer outdoor crimes typically associated with shorter days. The most common crime category was violence and sexual offences, accounting for 45.1% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour (19.5%) and public order offences (13.4%). These figures contrast sharply with the UK averages for anti-social behaviour and public order crimes, which were 29% and 90% lower respectively, suggesting Thornbury faces a unique set of challenges in these areas. The seasonal context of January—characterised by colder weather and shorter daylight hours—may have influenced patterns, particularly in property crimes, which saw notable declines compared to the UK average. While violent crime rates in Thornbury exceeded the national average by 8%, property crime rates were significantly lower, with shoplifting and burglary both falling below UK levels by 47% and 29% respectively. This divergence highlights the need to consider local dynamics, such as the area’s mix of residential and commercial spaces, when interpreting crime trends. The data also indicates a shift in crime mix, with violent crimes dominating over property crimes, a pattern consistent with urban areas where community interactions and public spaces play a larger role in crime dynamics.

January 2026 saw significant fluctuations in Thornbury’s crime profile, with anti-social behaviour surging by 100% compared to December, rising from 8 to 16 incidents. This increase aligns with the post-holiday period, which may have seen heightened tensions in residential areas and public spaces. Public order offences also rose sharply by 83.3%, potentially linked to increased alcohol-related incidents during colder evenings. In contrast, burglary and shoplifting both declined, with burglary dropping 57.1% and shoplifting falling 55.6% from the previous month. These decreases may reflect the seasonal reduction in retail activity, with fewer shoppers and reduced footfall in local stores. Vehicle crime also doubled, though this remains a minor category at 2 incidents. Thornbury’s violent crime rate—37 incidents, or 2.7 per 1,000 residents—was 8% above the UK average, a notable outlier in an area generally performing below the national benchmark. This discrepancy may be attributed to the town’s social mix, including a diverse population and proximity to larger urban centres. Residents may find the 3 crimes per day average (based on 82 total incidents) a useful benchmark for understanding local crime exposure, though this figure remains lower than the UK average when adjusted for population density.

Thornbury’s January 2026 crime rate of 5.9 per 1,000 residents marked a 5.8% decrease from December’s rate of 6.3, reflecting a continuing downward trend in overall crime. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 170 residents, a figure that contextualises the monthly exposure for local households. This monthly aggregate highlights that while Thornbury remains a relatively low-crime area compared to the UK average, the distribution of crime types differs significantly. The daily crime context—3 incidents per day—provides a tangible measure for residents, though this figure does not account for variations in population density or localised hotspots. When scaled to Thornbury’s population of 13,915, the 82 reported crimes represent a manageable level of activity, particularly given the town’s compact built-up area and limited commercial zones. The comparison to the UK average underscores Thornbury’s success in maintaining lower crime rates for property-related offences, though the higher-than-average rates of violence and anti-social behaviour suggest targeted interventions may be needed in these areas. The interplay between local demographics and seasonal factors, such as reduced retail activity in January, likely plays a role in shaping these patterns, reinforcing the importance of contextual analysis in crime reporting.