Grantham Crime Rate October 2025 | Monthly Statistics

October 2025 marked an unexpected spike in robbery incidents in Grantham, a built-up area within South Kesteven, with a total of 430 crimes reported at a rate of 9.3 per 1,000 residents—20.8% above the UK average of 7.7. This anomaly stands in stark contrast to the broader trend of seasonal crime patterns, which typically see a dip in October due to shorter evenings and the transition from summer to winter. The most prevalent crime types were violence and sexual offences (30.7% of total crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour (24.9%) and shoplifting (10.7%). These figures suggest a combination of local demographics and environmental factors, though the sharp rise in robbery remains unexplained by the data. The area’s crime profile appears to reflect a mix of urban characteristics, with high street activity contributing to shoplifting and public order offences, while the surge in violent crime may be linked to increased social interactions during Halloween and the end of the university term. The seasonal context of October—clocks going back, darker evenings, and Halloween—may have influenced the timing of certain crimes. The rate of burglary in Grantham was 67% below the UK average, indicating a lower incidence of residential crime compared to other areas. This divergence highlights the need for further analysis into why certain crime types dominate in Grantham, despite its urban nature.

The most striking finding in October 2025 was the 250% increase in robbery cases, rising from 2 to 7 incidents. This surge, combined with a 144.4% rise in vehicle crime (from 9 to 22) and a 100% increase in theft from the person (from 0 to 1), signals a significant shift in the crime mix. Violence and sexual offences remained the largest category at 30.7% of total crimes, but the sharp rise in robberies—now 1.6 per 1,000 residents, 82% above the UK average—raises questions about local factors. Anti-social behaviour also saw a dramatic increase, with 107 incidents reported, 83% above the UK average. This may be partly explained by the Halloween season, which often sees spikes in public disorder. Conversely, burglary dropped by 40% (from 10 to 6), and bicycle theft fell by two-thirds (from 6 to 2), suggesting some areas of the city may have seen reduced activity. The data also shows that other theft remained below the UK average, with 22 incidents (0.5 per 1,000) and only 4% below the national rate. For residents, the most concrete takeaway is the 14 crimes reported per day on average, a figure that underscores the need for continued community vigilance.

Grantham’s crime rate in October 2025 rose by 4.3% compared to the previous month, moving from 8.9 to 9.3 per 1,000 residents. This increase, though modest, brings the area’s rate 20.8% above the UK average, a gap that has widened over recent months. On a daily basis, 14 crimes were reported in October, a figure that, while not immediately alarming, reflects the persistent nature of local crime. Over the course of the month, one crime occurred for every 108 residents—a monthly exposure rate that, while lower than the UK average in some categories, remains a concern for a population of 46,262. The comparison to the UK average reveals stark contrasts: anti-social behaviour in Grantham is 83% higher than the national rate, while burglary is 67% lower. This divergence may be attributed to Grantham’s unique characteristics as a built-up area with a mix of retail and residential zones, where public order issues are more pronounced than property crimes. The data also highlights that other theft and vehicle crime are both above UK averages, suggesting that local factors—such as the presence of commercial areas or transportation hubs—may contribute to these trends. For residents, understanding these comparisons is essential for contextualising the local crime picture and identifying areas for targeted intervention.