Rainford Crime Rate July 2023 | Monthly Statistics

July 2023 brought unexpected shifts in Rainford's crime profile, most the sudden rise in burglary cases. The area's overall crime rate of 5.1 per 1,000 residents placed it 38.6% below the UK average, a consistent trend that underscores its relatively low crime environment. Violence and sexual offences dominated the monthly breakdown, accounting for 44.4% of all crimes, followed by burglary at 22.2%. These figures, however, contrast with the sharp emergence of previously non-existent categories like 'other crime', 'bicycle theft', and 'criminal damage and arson', each contributing 3.7% of total incidents. The seasonal context of July—characterised by peak tourism, school holidays, and festivals—likely influenced these patterns, with increased foot traffic and outdoor activity potentially contributing to both the rise in burglary and the drop in violence. While the UK average for burglary is 0.3 per 1,000, Rainford's rate of 1.1 per 1,000 highlights a localised anomaly that may be tied to the area's built-up nature and the proximity of tourist attractions. The lower-than-average rates for anti-social behaviour and public order offences (58% and 35% below UK averages respectively) suggest that community engagement and local policing efforts may be effective in mitigating these issues. However, the 233% increase in burglary compared to the UK average raises questions about targeted vulnerabilities in the area during the summer months, particularly as tourism peaks and local events draw larger crowds.

July 2023 marked a sharp 100% increase in burglary, bicycle theft, and 'other crime' categories, each rising from zero to six, one, and one respectively. This sudden emergence of these crime types contrasts with the 33.3% decrease in violence and sexual offences, which fell from 18 to 12, and the 33.3% drop in public order offences, reducing from three to two. The burglary rate in Rainford (1.1 per 1,000) is 233% above the UK average (0.3 per 1,000), a stark anomaly that may be linked to the area's built-up character and summer activity patterns. Meanwhile, anti-social behaviour (0.6 per 1,000) and public order offences (0.4 per 1,000) both fall significantly below UK averages, reflecting a lower incidence of these issues compared to national trends. For residents, the 100% surge in burglary is a critical data point, suggesting heightened vulnerability in certain areas during peak summer months when tourism and local events may draw attention to properties left unattended.

Rainford's crime rate in July 2023 rose slightly to 5.1 per 1,000 residents from 4.9 per 1,000 in June, marking a 3.9% increase. This shift, though modest, reflects the area's fluctuating patterns over the summer. On a daily basis, the local figure stands at approximately one crime per day, aligning with the seasonal rhythm of extended daylight and increased public activity. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 197 residents, a monthly exposure rate that underscores the relatively low frequency of incidents in this built-up area. When compared to the UK average, Rainford's overall crime rate remains 38.6% below the national figure, a gap that highlights the area's distinct security profile despite the recent uptick. This lower rate may partly reflect Rainford's compact nature and the presence of community-focused initiatives that contribute to a safer environment, though these are not explicitly documented in the data. The population context further illustrates that the 27 reported crimes in July represent a small proportion of the area's 5,312 residents, emphasizing the manageable scale of local crime.