Rainford Crime Rate November 2025 | Monthly Statistics

November 2025 marked a significant shift in Rainford's crime profile, with the most pronounced change being the 100% increase in public order offences, shoplifting, and bicycle theft. These three categories, previously absent or minimal, now accounted for 26.7% of the area's total reported crimes — a dramatic shift in the crime mix. The overall crime rate of 2.8 per 1,000 residents placed Rainford 61.6% below the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000, a gap that persisted despite the month-on-month fluctuations. Violent crimes remained the most common category, making up 53.3% of all incidents, though their rate was 42% below the UK average for this category. Seasonal factors likely contributed to these patterns: the darkness of November evenings may have influenced public order incidents, while Black Friday shopping could have driven shoplifting. Bicycle theft, at 0.2 per 1,000, was the only category exceeding the UK average by 233%, linked to increased cycling during the colder months. Conversely, criminal damage and arson fell by 33.3% compared to October, suggesting a possible reduction in anti-social behaviour during this period. The low overall crime rate, combined with the specific spikes in certain categories, illustrates a combination of localized dynamics and national trends, with Rainford's built-up area within St. Helens appearing to have a distinct crime profile shaped by its unique demographic and geographic characteristics.

The most dramatic shift in November 2025 was the 100% increase in public order offences, shoplifting, and bicycle theft — all rising from zero or one incident to two in the month. This spike, though small in absolute terms, signals a notable shift in the crime mix, with public order offences now accounting for 6.7% of total crimes, compared to 0% in October. Violent crimes remained the most common category, making up 53.3% of reported incidents, but their rate of 1.5 per 1,000 was 42% below the UK average for this category. Bicycle theft, at 0.2 per 1,000, stood out as the only category in Rainford exceeding the UK average by 233%, a stark contrast to other types like criminal damage and arson, which were 25% below the UK rate. Residents may find the 100% rise in public order offences particularly noteworthy, as it suggests a potential link to seasonal factors like Bonfire Night or increased foot traffic during Black Friday shopping.

Rainford's crime rate in November 2025 stood at 2.8 per 1,000 residents, reflecting a 28.6% decline from the previous month's rate of 4.0 per 1,000. This downward trend suggests a stabilization or improvement in local safety measures. On a daily basis, the area recorded an average of 0 crimes per day over the 30-day period, highlighting the rarity of incidents in this built-up area. When scaled to the population of 5,312 residents, the monthly exposure translates to one reported crime for every 354 residents — a figure that, while statistically meaningful, underscores the relatively low frequency of criminal activity. This contrasts sharply with the UK average of 7.3 per 1,000, but the comparison here focuses on Rainford's internal trajectory. The population context reinforces that the area's crime profile is distinct from broader national patterns, with localized factors likely playing a more significant role than national trends.