Blythe Bridge and Forsbrook Crime Rate July 2024 | Monthly Statistics

For residents of Blythe Bridge and Forsbrook, the crime rate of 4.3 per 1,000 residents in July 2024 translates to a daily risk of roughly 1 in 6,676 people — a figure that feels more tangible when contextualised within the area’s seasonal rhythm. This rate is 48.8% below the UK average of 8.4 per 1,000, reflecting a safer environment that contrasts with larger urban centres. The dominant crime types — violence and sexual offences (44.8% of all crimes), public order (24.1%), and anti-social behaviour (13.8%) — highlight a combination of local demographics and summer activity. Violence and sexual offences, though the most common category, remain 30% below the UK average, potentially influenced by the area’s lower population density and the presence of community-focused policing. Public order offences, however, stand out as 72% above the UK average, likely tied to the influx of visitors during July’s peak tourism season and the proliferation of festivals and events. Anti-social behaviour, while lower than the UK rate, may still reflect challenges in managing transient populations during the summer months. The seasonal context of July — with schools out, festivals in full swing, and outdoor events drawing crowds — likely amplifies certain crime types while mitigating others, creating a dynamic that requires nuanced understanding. For instance, the sharp rise in public order offences may be partly explained by the increased presence of visitors in areas with limited overnight accommodation, whereas the relatively low vehicle crime rate (0.3 per 1,000) could indicate effective parking management or fewer opportunities for theft in a rural setting. This per-capita perspective reveals that while the overall risk is low, specific local factors — such as event-driven crowds — may temporarily elevate certain crime types, requiring targeted awareness from residents.

July saw a stark shift in crime patterns, with vehicle crime doubling from 0 to 2 — a 100% increase — likely linked to increased summer activity and festival-related traffic. Public order offences also surged by 75%, climbing from 4 to 7, a trend consistent with the area’s seasonal peak in tourism and outdoor events. Meanwhile, violence and sexual offences decreased by 13.3%, from 15 to 13, though this category remains 30% below the UK average. Anti-social behaviour — the third most common crime — fell to 4 incidents, 59% below the UK average, suggesting community efforts may be tempering disruptive behaviour. The contrast between public order’s 72% above-average rate and other categories’ below-average figures underscores the area’s unique challenges, where transient summer crowds may amplify disorder while localised initiatives reduce other crime types.

In July 2024, the area recorded 29 crimes across 6,676 residents, translating to 1 crime per day on average. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 230 residents — a figure that contextualises risk in a way that aligns with the area’s low overall rate. This monthly exposure is lower than the UK average, which stands at 8.4 per 1,000, though no direct UK comparison for daily rates exists. The crime rate for July (4.3 per 1,000) reflects a 3.3% decline from June’s 4.5 per 1,000, suggesting a slight stabilisation in local patterns. While the population-scaled perspective shows manageable risk levels, the distribution of crime types reveals localised challenges — particularly in public order, which exceeded the UK average by 72%. This contrast highlights how the area’s unique character, shaped by its rural-urban mix, influences crime dynamics differently than larger, more densely populated regions.