Blythe Bridge and Forsbrook Crime Rate October 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Blythe Bridge and Forsbrook, a largely rural area with a small built-up core, recorded a crime rate of 6.7 per 1,000 residents in October 2024—17.3% below the UK average of 8.1. This figure, while lower than national levels, reflects a combination of local factors and seasonal dynamics. Violence and sexual offences dominated the crime profile, accounting for 48.9% of all reported incidents, with a rate of 3.3 per 1,000. This category’s rate is 24% above the UK average, suggesting a higher incidence of interpersonal crime in this area compared to the national trend. Public order offences, which rose sharply by 250% compared to September, accounted for 15.6% of all crimes, a rate 96% above the UK average for the category. This spike may be linked to the seasonal transition of October, with shorter daylight hours and the approach of Halloween potentially contributing to increased community interactions in public spaces. Anti-social behaviour, meanwhile, remained below the UK average by 38%, with 5 incidents reported. The area’s relatively low property crime rate—only 22% of all crimes—contrasts with the UK profile, where property crimes typically dominate. This imbalance may be explained by the area’s rural character, where opportunities for burglary or vehicle crime are limited compared to urban centres. The overall crime rate, though lower than the UK average, highlights the importance of contextual factors in shaping local crime patterns. Seasonal changes, such as the end of the summer and the onset of darker evenings, may influence both the frequency and type of crimes reported, particularly in areas with limited street lighting or high community density during specific times of the year.

The most striking change in October was a 250% increase in public order offences, rising from 2 to 7 incidents. This surge, occurring against the backdrop of darker evenings and Halloween, may reflect heightened community activity or challenges in managing public spaces during seasonal transitions. Bicycle theft also saw a 100% increase, with one reported incident—though this remains below the UK average for the category. Conversely, shoplifting decreased by 25%, dropping from 4 to 3 cases, a decline that could be linked to seasonal retail patterns or targeted policing efforts. Violence and sexual offences remained the most prevalent category, accounting for 48.9% of all crimes, with a rate of 3.3 per 1,000—24% above the UK average for this category. This disparity underscores the area’s unique crime profile, where interpersonal conflicts may dominate despite the overall lower rate compared to the national average.

October 2024 saw a marked upward shift in crime rates for Blythe Bridge and Forsbrook, rising from 3.7 to 6.7 per 1,000 residents—an 80.2% increase compared to the previous month. This change, though significant, places the area 17.3% below the UK average of 8.1 per 1,000. On a daily basis, the area experienced roughly one reported crime per day over the 31-day period, a figure that may resonate with residents concerned about local safety. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 148 residents, a monthly exposure rate that, while low by national standards, highlights the concentrated nature of incidents in this relatively small built-up area. This statistic offers a tangible reference point for understanding the scale of crime in relation to the population, particularly for those living in the core of Blythe Bridge and Forsbrook, where incidents are likely more visible due to the area’s compact geography.