Stratford-on-Avon Crime Rate November 2023 | Monthly Statistics

For a population of 146,258, Stratford-on-Avon recorded 772 crimes in November 2023, translating to a crime rate of 5.3 per 1,000 residents—29.3% below the UK average of 7.5. This figure positions the area as one of the safer regions in England. Violence and sexual offences dominated with 258 incidents (33.4% of total crimes), followed by anti-social behaviour (115, 14.9%) and vehicle crime (73, 9.5%). These figures align with Stratford-on-Avon’s character as a historic market town with a mix of rural and urban spaces, where high foot traffic in the town centre and proximity to major transport routes may contribute to certain crime types. Seasonal factors likely played a role: the month coincided with Bonfire Night, which may have influenced public order incidents, and Black Friday shopping, which could explain higher vehicle crime rates in the early part of the month. However, the overall rate remains significantly lower than the UK average, suggesting effective local policing or community engagement strategies. Property crimes (302) accounted for 39% of total incidents, but this was offset by lower rates of theft from the person (0.0 per 1,000) and burglary (0.4 per 1,000), both of which were below UK averages. The data also shows a marked drop in robbery (from 4 to 2), though this may reflect natural fluctuations rather than systemic change. Stratford-on-Avon’s crime profile illustrates a balance between historic town centre dynamics and the quieter rhythms of surrounding rural areas, with crime rates that remain consistently below national benchmarks despite seasonal pressures.

November 2023 saw significant shifts in crime trends, with possession of weapons rising by 166.7% (3 to 8) and public order offences increasing by 20% (45 to 54). These spikes may reflect heightened activity around Bonfire Night events, which typically draw larger crowds and could exacerbate disorder. Conversely, vehicle crime fell by 13.1% (84 to 73), linked to reduced shopping trips during the post-Black Friday lull. Violence and sexual offences also declined by 8.5% (282 to 258), though this decrease contrasts with the overall dominance of violent crime, which remains 31% below the UK average. Other notable trends include a 22.2% rise in 'other crime' (18 to 22), a category that may encompass localised issues not captured in broader classifications. Meanwhile, burglary (0.4 per 1,000) was 18% above the UK average (0.3 per 1,000), suggesting vulnerabilities in residential security that could be addressed through targeted initiatives. The town’s performance in theft from the person (0.0 per 1,000) and robbery (0.0 per 1,000)—both 100% below UK averages—highlights a relative absence of petty theft, which may reflect strong community policing or the absence of high-traffic tourist zones. These findings underscore the need for tailored strategies to manage spikes in specific categories while maintaining the area’s overall low crime profile.

Stratford-on-Avon’s crime rate of 5.3 per 1,000 in November 2023 represented a 3.3% decline from the previous month’s rate of 5.5, reflecting a continued downward trend. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 26 crimes per day—a figure that, while seemingly high, must be contextualised within the local population. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 189 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is lower than the UK average, which is not provided here but would likely be higher given Stratford-on-Avon’s overall performance. This statistic suggests that residents face a relatively low risk of encountering crime compared to other parts of the country, though the 26 daily incidents still represent a tangible presence in the community. The population-scaled perspective is critical: with 146,258 residents, the absolute number of crimes (772) must be balanced against the area’s size and the distribution of its population between the historic town centre and surrounding rural areas. The daily crime count may appear significant to some, but when spread across the entire district, it translates to a manageable level of risk. This comparison highlights the importance of viewing crime rates through both absolute and relative lenses, ensuring that local efforts to maintain safety are neither overestimated nor underestimated.