Stratford-on-Avon Crime Rate January 2024 | Monthly Statistics

Stratford-on-Avon's January 2024 crime rate of 5.1 per 1,000 residents marks a 3.9% increase from December 2023's 4.9 per 1,000.1% below the UK average of 7.4. The area's crime profile reflects a blend of local and national trends, with violence and sexual offences accounting for 33.4% of all recorded crimes—a significant share that likely ties to the town's status as a tourist destination and the associated seasonal fluctuations in foot traffic. Anti-social behaviour (14.3%) and other theft (9.6%) follow closely, suggesting patterns linked to both residential and commercial areas. The post-holiday period, reduced retail activity, and shorter daylight hours in January may have contributed to lower outdoor crime rates. The rate of violence and sexual offences (1.7 per 1,000) is 35% below the UK average, a contrast to the 12% gap in other theft and the 47% gap in criminal damage and arson. These disparities could reflect the town's relatively stable population and the presence of historic sites that may deter certain types of crime. The seasonal context also points to a possible shift in criminal activity from outdoor spaces to indoor venues, though further analysis would be needed to confirm this hypothesis. Overall, the data underscores a combination of local characteristics and broader national trends, with Stratford-on-Avon continuing to maintain a crime rate significantly below the UK average despite a minor upward trend in January.

The month-on-month changes in January 2024 reveal notable shifts in specific crime categories. Other crime saw a 100% increase, rising from 11 to 22 incidents, a jump that may reflect unreported or under-recorded activities during the post-holiday period. Concurrently, drug-related offences surged by 54.5%, with reported cases rising from 11 to 17, a trend that could be linked to seasonal patterns or local events not explicitly documented in the data. Robbery incidents also increased by 33.3%, moving from 3 to 4 cases—a small but significant rise that may indicate targeted opportunities in the area. In contrast, theft from the person dropped by 71.4%, decreasing from 7 to 2 incidents, a decline that aligns with the reduced retail footfall and shorter daylight hours typical of January. Bicycle theft also fell by 50%, from 10 to 5 cases, due to fewer commuters or cyclists during the winter months. Possession of weapons decreased by 46.2%, from 13 to 7 cases, though this category remains 43% above the UK average. These fluctuations highlight the dynamic nature of crime in Stratford-on-Avon, with some categories showing marked improvements while others rose sharply. For residents, the 35% gap in violence and sexual offences compared to the UK average offers a concrete insight into the area's relative safety, even as other metrics suggest localized pressures.

Stratford-on-Avon's crime rate in January 2024 (5.1 per 1,000) was 3.9% higher than December 2023's rate of 4.9 per 1,000, indicating a slight upward trend over the past month. However, this increase remains well below the UK average, with the area's rate still 31.1% lower than the national figure of 7.4 per 1,000. On a daily basis, 24 crimes were reported each day in January, a local figure that provides context for the frequency of incidents in a town of 146,258 residents. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 198 residents—a monthly exposure rate that is significantly lower than the UK average, though no direct comparison is available for this metric. The population-scaled perspective highlights the area's relatively low crime burden, even as specific categories like other crime and drugs show upward trends. For residents, this means that while the overall rate has risen slightly, the town's crime profile continues to be markedly safer than the national average. The daily crime count, while a useful indicator of local activity, does not necessarily reflect the severity of individual incidents, as some categories (e.g. anti-social behaviour) are less severe than others (e.g. violence and sexual offences). This contrast underscores the importance of viewing crime statistics holistically, rather than relying solely on aggregate figures.