Stratford-on-Avon Crime Rate January 2025 | Monthly Statistics

Stratford-on-Avon’s crime profile in January 2025 reveals a combination of seasonal trends and local dynamics. The overall crime rate of 4.8 per 1,000 residents, 32.4% below the UK average, highlights the area’s relatively low crime burden compared to national benchmarks. This figure is driven by the dominance of violence and sexual offences, which account for 35.7% of all reported crimes, followed by anti-social behaviour at 15.2%. These patterns are consistent with the area’s character as a historic market town with a mix of urban and rural features, where retail and cultural hubs may contribute to higher rates of violent crime. Seasonal factors also appear to influence the data: January, a post-holiday period marked by shorter days and reduced retail activity, likely contributes to the lower levels of shoplifting and theft from the person compared to other months. However, the prominence of violence and sexual offences suggests that local factors, such as the presence of educational institutions or tourist attractions, may play a role. The UK average for violence and sexual offences is 2.5 per 1,000, whereas Stratford-on-Avon’s rate of 1.7 per 1,000 is 32% below, indicating a possible combination of effective policing and community initiatives. Anti-social behaviour, at 0.7 per 1,000, is 29% below the UK average of 1.0 per 1,000, a statistic that may reflect the town’s relatively cohesive social fabric or the impact of targeted interventions. Meanwhile, vehicle crime at 0.5 per 1,000 is 22% above the UK average of 0.4 per 1,000, a discrepancy that could be attributed to Stratford-on-Avon’s commuter infrastructure or the presence of car parks in the town centre. The seasonal context of January—characterized by reduced footfall in retail areas and colder weather—may also influence the distribution of crimes, with property crimes like burglary and vehicle crime rising during periods of lower visibility or increased home occupancy.

January 2025 saw notable shifts in crime patterns across Stratford-on-Avon. Burglary increased by 18.0%, rising from 50 to 59 incidents, a move that contrasts with the UK average of 0.3 per 1,000, where Stratford-on-Avon’s rate of 0.4 per 1,000 is 33% above. This could reflect seasonal factors, such as reduced visibility during shorter days or changes in household activity. Meanwhile, public order offences rose by 21.2%, from 33 to 40, a category where Stratford-on-Avon’s rate of 0.3 per 1,000 is 35% below the UK average of 0.5 per 1,000. This apparent contradiction may be explained by localized enforcement efforts or community engagement initiatives. On the other hand, theft from the person plummeted by 83.3%, from six to one incident, a drop that aligns with the post-holiday period and reduced retail footfall in January. This decrease is particularly significant for residents, as it directly impacts personal safety in public spaces.

Stratford-on-Avon’s crime rate in January 2025 remained stable compared to December 2024, with a 1.9% increase from 4.7 to 4.8 per 1,000 residents. This suggests no significant upward or downward trend over the past month, though the rate continues to sit 32.4% below the UK average. On a daily basis, the area experienced approximately 23 crimes per day, a figure that reflects the local context of a mid-sized town with a mix of urban and rural characteristics. Over the course of the month, one reported crime occurred for roughly every 210 residents, a monthly exposure rate that is lower than many comparable areas. This statistic, while not directly comparable to UK-wide figures, underscores the relatively low crime burden in Stratford-on-Avon. The population of 146,258 means that crime impacts a small proportion of residents, though localized spikes in certain categories, such as burglary and public order offences, suggest areas for further scrutiny.